Comparison of the S&P 500 in 1987 vs. 2025

There are two seasonal bearish patterns for U.S. stocks.  April through May and August through October.  In 2025 the S&P 500 (SPX) is roughly following the seasonal pattern it took in 1987. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened in 1987 and 2025. The SPX peaked in April 1987 then hadContinue reading “Comparison of the S&P 500 in 1987 vs. 2025”

Trendline and RSI Analysis – S&P 500 – 07/25/25

Examination of three-time scales reveals interesting clues for the S&P 500 (SPX). The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long-term view. Last week the SPX went marginally above the long-term rising trendline connecting the January 2022 and February 2025 peaks.  This movement corresponded with a significant weekly RSI bearish divergence.  The combinationContinue reading “Trendline and RSI Analysis – S&P 500 – 07/25/25”

Pushing Towards the Trendline?

The S&P 500 (SPX) all-time high on 07/15/25 invalidated the potential Lunar signal made at the 07/10/25 Full Moon.  The rising long – term SPX trendline could still be an important resistance area. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. If in the next few trading days, the SPX reaches aContinue reading “Pushing Towards the Trendline?”

Bitcoin Lunar Signal – 07/11/25

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has a lunar signal like the S&P 500. The daily BTCUSD chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action. BTCUSD has hit a long – term rising trendline at the time of a Full Moon with an RSI bearish divergence.  This combination of factors implies BTCUSD could be on the cusp of atContinue reading “Bitcoin Lunar Signal – 07/11/25”

Lunar Alert – 07/11/25

On 07/10/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) moved above the prior weekly high invalidating a bearish Strat combo.   However, the new high occurred on a Full Moon with an important daily bearish momentum signal. The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the long view. The 07/04/25 blog “Pre Holiday Stock Rally – 07/03/25” illustratedContinue reading “Lunar Alert – 07/11/25”

Discovering Potential Support Areas

If the S&P 500 (SPX) soon declines, two methodologies could discover potential support zones. The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates a possible Strat combo for the week of 07/07/25 to 07/11/25. The Strat method is very simple and can identify possible breakthrough points and potential targets areas. The method utilizes three priceContinue reading “Discovering Potential Support Areas”

Unusual Pre – Holiday Stock Trading – 07/03/25

When a major U.S. holiday occurs Monday through Friday the NYSE suspends trading for that day.  Occasionally the day before or after the holiday could have a shortened trading day.   The NYSE had shortened trading hours on 07/03/25 because Friday 07/04/25 was the U.S. Independence Day holiday.  Shortened stock trading sessions usually have aContinue reading “Unusual Pre – Holiday Stock Trading – 07/03/25”

Pre-Holiday Stock Rally – 07/03/25

In a shortened pre – holiday session the S&P 500 (SPX) blasted up to new highs.   Near – term U.S. stocks could climb higher.  In the longer – term the post 04/07/25 stock rally is probably the termination phase of a secular bull market that began in March 2020.  Prior blogs on this website illustratedContinue reading “Pre-Holiday Stock Rally – 07/03/25”

Trend Angles into the Final Countdown

The S&P 500 (SPX) rally since 04/07/25 has a steeper angle than any other rally in nearly three years.  This action could be the sign of a blow off top. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View examines the bull market since the significant bottom made in October 2022. The rally angle since 04/07/25Continue reading “Trend Angles into the Final Countdown”