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Crude Oil Trendline Watch – June 2026

The 04/18/26 blog “Collapsing Crude Oil? – April 2026” illustrated the bullish and bearish scenarios for Crude Oil.  Since then, Crude Oil has trended sideways.  Weekly momentum implies a multi-month downtrend may have begun. The weekly Crude Oil (CL2!) chart courtesy of Trading View shows the long-term picture. Weekly MACD has a bearish line cross.…

S&P 500 – Short Term Elliott Wave Count – 06/11/26

An important short-term S&P 500 (SPX) peak could be made on 06/12/26 The SPX -30 – minute chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the intraday action. The SPX 06/02/26 to 06/09/26 decline took the form of an Elliott Impulse pattern.  If so, this could be the first wave of a larger five – wave pattern…

Record of Diminishing Fear

Since the 2020 Covid crash S&P 500 (SPX) bear markets have gotten progressively smaller. The monthly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View reveals a fascinating phenomenon. Durning the 2020 Covid crash SPX declined 35.4%. The 2022 bear market declined 27.5%. The 2025 bear market fell 21.3%. The 2026 decline was only 9.8%. The bulls have…