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Conflicting Momentum Indicators – July 2026

As we enter mid – July 2026 two U.S. stock market momentum indicators are giving conflicting messages. First a look at the Advance/Decline (A/D) line which has a long history of forecasting significant U.S. stock market turns.  The A/D line peaks prior to stock index ultimate peaks, creating a bearish divergence.  At significant bottoms the…

Weak Trendline Breakthrough – 07/10/26

The prior blog “Prelude to New Highs? – July 2026” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) since 06/02/26 may have formed an Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle.  As of 07/09/26 SPX was at the edge of a declining trendline from the 06/15/26 peak.  The break above this trendline on 07/10/26 should have triggered a powerful…

Prelude to New Highs? – July 2026

The S&P 500 (SPX) could be close to making new all-time highs. Since the 06/02/26 peak SPX has meander sideways.  The 3 – hour SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the most likely Elliott wave count. SPX since its all-time high on 06/02/26 appears to have formed an Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle.   These…