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Trading Record

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Record of Diminishing Fear

Since the 2020 Covid crash S&P 500 (SPX) bear markets have gotten progressively smaller. The monthly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View reveals a fascinating phenomenon. Durning the 2020 Covid crash SPX declined 35.4%. The 2022 bear market declined 27.5%. The 2025 bear market fell 21.3%. The 2026 decline was only 9.8%. The bulls have…

Using Bitcoin to Time the U.S. Stock Market – June 2026

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) bull and bear markets roughly correspond with S&P 500 (SPX) bull and bear markets.  If the SPX has just started a multi-month bear market BTCUSD could forecast the end of the bear market. The monthly BTCUSD and SPX charts courtesy of Trading View illustrate their long-term relationship. BTCUSD and SPX bear markets end…

Support Levels for the S&P 500 – June 2026

The drop in U.S. stocks on 06/05/26 implies a multi-week may have begun.  If so, where are near-term support levels?  The weekly S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View provides clues. The starting point for market/stock analysis is segmentation.  In this case the most significant segment is the 03/30/26 to 06/02/26 rally.  A combination…