Category Archives: Price

S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025

 The 11/23/25 blog “Is History Repeating?” noted. “Corrections of the main trend are usually choppy, and that’s what’s happened so far in the November drop.  The move down looks like an Elliott wave – Double Zigzag correction”. The 30-minute S&P 500 (SPX) chart from that blog is shown below. The 11/23/25 blog also noted. “IntradayContinue reading “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025”

Lonely New High of the New York Stock Exchange Composite

The NYSE Composite (NYA) is a stock market index covering all common stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange, including American depositary receipts, real estate investment trusts, tracking stocks, and foreign listings. On 12/05/25 NYA did something amazing, it made a new all-time high unconfirmed by the following indices.  S&P 500, Dow Jones IndustrialContinue reading “Lonely New High of the New York Stock Exchange Composite”

Price Divergence Between Bitcoin and S&P 500

The 11/16/25 blog “Using Bitcoin to Time a U.S. Stock Market Peak” examined the time dimension relationship between Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and U.S. stocks.  Evidence indicated that U.S. stocks could be forming a significant peak. A focus on the price dimension relationship between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 (SPX) comes to the same conclusion – U.SContinue reading “Price Divergence Between Bitcoin and S&P 500”

December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?

The 11/23/25 blog “Is History Repeating” illustrated the similarities between the S&P 500 (SPX) decline in November 2021 and November 2025 and noted.  “Intraday momentum supports the bullish scenario.  The 30 – minute RSI has several bullish divergences implying that the selling is exhausted.  There’s a good chance SPX could rally in the next fewContinue reading “December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?”

Is History Repeating?

Comparing November 2021 with November 2025 This website’s prior blog examined S&P 500 (SPX) November seasonal patterns.  November 2025 – SPX decline is like what happened in November 2021.  A repeat of that prior drop could happen in late 2025. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened late 2021 to earlyContinue reading “Is History Repeating?”

Sixteen – Year Analysis of the S&P 500

The 10/18/25 blog “Fifty – Year Analysis of the S&P 500” examined the two S&P 500 (SPX) secular bull markets that spanned fifty years.  Fibonacci price and time ratios between the two bull markets imply a major peak that could be made in 2025.   A look at the at the SPX rise since 2009 revealsContinue reading “Sixteen – Year Analysis of the S&P 500”

Fifty – Year Analysis of the S&P 500

Very long-term Fibonacci price and time ratios imply S&P 500 (SPX) could make a significant peak sometime in 2025. Because of the fractal nature of markets Fibonacci price and time analysis can be made on any time scale, from minutes to centuries.  The yearly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View examines two bull markets thatContinue reading “Fifty – Year Analysis of the S&P 500”

U.S. Stock Market Sentiment – October 2025

The 10/06/25 blog “Rising VIX and Rising Stocks” noted “The ideal condition for a major U.S. stock peak would be a higher VIX bottom and only one of the three main U.S. stock indices: SPX, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite making a new all-time high”. That was the condition on 10/10/25 when theContinue reading “U.S. Stock Market Sentiment – October 2025”

Watch the Nasdaq Composite on – 10/10/25 – Part Two

The 10/09/25 blog “Watch the Nasdaq Composite on – 10/10/25” noted. “At the open of the main trading session on 10/09/25 both the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) and S&P 500 (SPX) made new all-time highs then quickly declined.   The other main U.S. stock index, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) lagged below its all-time high made onContinue reading “Watch the Nasdaq Composite on – 10/10/25 – Part Two”