State Street Sector – Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) divide the S&P 500 (SPX) into eleven sectors. Most of the SPX sectors are in bear trends. During the week of 10/12/26 to 10/16/26 only two sectors managed to reach all-time highs. In the week of10/19/26 to 10/23/26 three sectors reached all-time highs. Could this be theContinue reading “U.S. Stock Sector Analysis – October 2026”
Category Archives: Time
Technology Stocks Relative Weakness – October 2026
On 10/06/26 the technology stock ETF – (XLK) made a new all-time high. Subsequently it has been bearish relative to the S&P 500 (SPX) and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC). This could be a bearish omen for the broader U.S. stock market. First, we need to examine the long-term performance of the technology sector. The weeklyContinue reading “Technology Stocks Relative Weakness – October 2026”
Crude Oil Turning Point?
The 08/16/26 blog “Crude Oil Near-Term Target – 95.00” noted Crude Oil’s broad resistance area was 95.00 to 100.00. The 09/12/26 blog “Crude Oil Reaches – 100.00” noted “On 09/11/26 Crude Oil reached 100.03, almost the exact level of the 05/18/26 peak of 100.10.” Also noted, “Another price spike up from current levels could quicklyContinue reading “Crude Oil Turning Point?”
Are Oil Bulls Out of Time? – Part – Two
In the 08/30/26 blog “Are Oil Bulls Out of Time?” it appeared that Crude Oil may have completed or was close to completion of an Elliott wave – Inverse Horizontal Triangle. The blog noted that a move above the 08/21/26 peak at 85.46 was bullish. This movement did happen and invalidated the presumed Inverse HorizontalContinue reading “Are Oil Bulls Out of Time? – Part – Two”
Watching the Trend Lines – September 2026
Recently many U.S. stocks have been in a sideways channel. A trend line break could provide an important signal. The daily charts of S&P 500 (SPX), Financial sector – ETF (XLF), and Technology sector – ETF (XLK) examines their relationship. After the late March to June- XLK led the U.S. stock market with an amazingContinue reading “Watching the Trend Lines – September 2026”
Shanghai Composite Long -Term Forecast
Recently views of this website in the Peoples Republic of China have greatly increased. Welcome! Today’s blog focuses on the long – term Elliott wave count for the Shanghai Composite index and what may develop in the next few years. The monthly chart for the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index – SSE – Trading ViewContinue reading “Shanghai Composite Long -Term Forecast”
Are Oil Bulls Out of Time?
The 08/16/26 blog “Crude Oil Near-Term Target – 95.00” noted “Momentum and Elliott wave structure imply Crude Oil could reach 95.00 in early September 2026”. Since then, price has risen, yet not as robust as expected. Seasonal and fundamental factors could soon bring downward pressure on price. The WTI Crude Oil Futures Seasonality chart courtesyContinue reading “Are Oil Bulls Out of Time?”
In the Lunar Zone – August 2026
The 08/22/26 blog “First Wave Down – 08/21/26” noted “The “buy the dip” stock bulls of 2026 probably view the recent drop as another great opportunity and could push SPX up to the 7,740 to 7,760 area.” This target zone has been reached. An important secondary peak could occur on 08/27/26 or 08/28/26. The hourlyContinue reading “In the Lunar Zone – August 2026”
Spring Bottoms – Summer Peaks
Broad U.S. stock market seasonals patterns usually have peaks in April or May then a decline into October. The old saying “Sell in May and go away”. There are of course exceptions to this broad pattern. Two fascinating instances could provide clues to what may happen later in 2026. The weekly Dow Jones Industrial AverageContinue reading ” Spring Bottoms – Summer Peaks”
Watching for a Single Top – Part- Two
The 08/08/26 blog “Watching for a Single Top – August 2026” noted. “Since January 2000 almost all the major U.S. stock market peaks have occurred with only one of the three main U.S. stock indices making an all-time high. The three main indices are S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), and Nasdaq CompositeContinue reading “Watching for a Single Top – Part- Two”
