The prior two Crude Oil blogs on this website noted that Oil bulls were out of time. The 09/06/26 blog illustrated important Crude Oil resistance at 90.00. The bulls were able to blast above the resistance level and reached 100.00. A break above 100.00 next week could open the door to 113.00 and beyond. Continue reading “Crude Oil Reaches – 100.00”
Category Archives: Price
Upside Targets for U.S. Treasury Yields – September 2026
Yields on long and short – term U.S. Treasury Debt have been rising. If the trend continues it could have an adverse effect on the U.S. economy and stocks. The monthly – 30 – year Treasury Yield chart (TYX) courtesy of Trading View shows the very long – term view. Currently monthly RSI has aContinue reading “Upside Targets for U.S. Treasury Yields – September 2026”
Are Oil Bulls Out of Time? – Part – Two
In the 08/30/26 blog “Are Oil Bulls Out of Time?” it appeared that Crude Oil may have completed or was close to completion of an Elliott wave – Inverse Horizontal Triangle. The blog noted that a move above the 08/21/26 peak at 85.46 was bullish. This movement did happen and invalidated the presumed Inverse HorizontalContinue reading “Are Oil Bulls Out of Time? – Part – Two”
Watching the Trend Lines – September 2026
Recently many U.S. stocks have been in a sideways channel. A trend line break could provide an important signal. The daily charts of S&P 500 (SPX), Financial sector – ETF (XLF), and Technology sector – ETF (XLK) examines their relationship. After the late March to June- XLK led the U.S. stock market with an amazingContinue reading “Watching the Trend Lines – September 2026”
Spring Bottoms – Summer Peaks
Broad U.S. stock market seasonals patterns usually have peaks in April or May then a decline into October. The old saying “Sell in May and go away”. There are of course exceptions to this broad pattern. Two fascinating instances could provide clues to what may happen later in 2026. The weekly Dow Jones Industrial AverageContinue reading ” Spring Bottoms – Summer Peaks”
Crude Oil Near-Term Target – 95.00
Momentum and Elliott wave structure imply Crude Oil could reach 95.00 in early September 2026. The daily continuous Crude Oil futures (CL2!) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates its action. From an Elliott wave perspective, the important area to focus on is what happened after the 07/02/26 bottom at 67.12. Please note that after theContinue reading “Crude Oil Near-Term Target – 95.00”
Rising U.S. Interest Rates – August 2026
A multi-month rally in U.S. interest rates may have begun. The 05/16/26 blog “Long – Term Yields Near Major Double Top” noted that U.S. Treasury 30- year bond yields (TYX) were close to moving above a double top at 5.15 made in October 2023 and May 2025. On 05/19/26 TYX broke above 5.15, reaching 5.20. Continue reading “Rising U.S. Interest Rates – August 2026”
Suspicious All-Time High – 07/28/26
Sometimes markets can have significant turns on or near Full/New Moons plus or minus two – trading days. There was a Full Moon on 07/29/26, On 07/28/26 the NYSE Composite (NYA) made an all-time high. However, this high could soon be exceeded. The daily NYA chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action since lateContinue reading “Suspicious All-Time High – 07/28/26”
The New Leader for U.S. Stocks?
In recent weeks Financial stocks have been the most bullish U.S. stock market sector. This rally could be the last gasp of a dying bull market. The daily charts of State Street – Financial Sector (XLF) and State Street – Technology Sector (XLK) courtesy of Trading View illustrate their relationship. Technologies have been the trueContinue reading “The New Leader for U.S. Stocks?”
Important Support Levels – July 2026
On 07/23/26 S&P 500 (SPX) decline 1.20% if the decline is to continue there are two important support levels that need to be broken. The first support level is illustrated in the daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View. SPX on 07/23/26 went marginally below a Fibonacci .618 retrace of the 06/26/26 to 07/15/26 rally. Continue reading “Important Support Levels – July 2026”