Top For US Stocks Could be in Place

The S&P 500 (SPX) appears to have completed an Elliott impulse wave up from the important 10/30/20 bottom at 3233.94.  If so, we could expect to see at least a retracement of the movement from 10/30/20 to 01/08/21. If this bull movement is a wave “one” the most likely retracement for wave “two” is aContinue reading “Top For US Stocks Could be in Place”

Long-Term Price and Time Targets

The following monthly Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) chart courtesy of Trading View  is an update to the monthly DJI chart illustrated in the 08/22/20 post “Forecast – Bull Market Termination Date – 2021” The time forecast is based upon the Fibonacci sequence which is ( 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34,Continue reading “Long-Term Price and Time Targets”

Detailed Long-Term S&P 500 Elliott Wave Count

The S&P 500 (SPX) rally from the 03/23/20 bottom to 12/11/20 does not appear to be a developing Elliott five-wave Impulse pattern, nor does it appear to be an Elliott Wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle. The most likely current wave count is that an Elliott Wave – Horizontal Triangle may have formed  from 02/19/20 toContinue reading “Detailed Long-Term S&P 500 Elliott Wave Count”

Could Zoom Still Make a New All-Time High?

Recent posts about Zoom Video Communications Inc. (ZM) noted that because of ZM’s recent decline while the S&P 500 (SPX) rallied, increased the risk of buying ZM.  An abundance of evidence is needed to take a trading position and this stock still lacks enough evidence to make a long recommendation. ZM does continue to beContinue reading “Could Zoom Still Make a New All-Time High?”

S&P 500 Could be in Short – Term Decline

On 11/09/20 the S&P 500 (SPX) may have completed an Elliott five wave extended impulse pattern from the bottom made on 10/30/20. The hourly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action from the 10/30/20 bottom. The tricky part of the wave count is the supposed Minuette wave (v).  This could be a TruncatedContinue reading “S&P 500 Could be in Short – Term Decline”

Dow Jones Transportation Average – An Important Bottom?

Today 10/30/20 the S&P 500 (SPX) made a new low for the decline from its secondary high made on 10/12/20. The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) which made an all-time high on 10/20/20 did not make a new decline low and held above its 10/29/20 bottom.  This stronger performance relative to the SPX hints theContinue reading “Dow Jones Transportation Average – An Important Bottom?”

Additional Elliott Wave Confirmation

The prior post focused on Exchange Traded Fund – XLP  as a guide to help with the Elliott Wave count for the US stock market.  The following weekly chart courtesy of Trading View shows an individual stock which so far has  a textbook Elliott Wave pattern. Sometimes small cap stocks involved in speculative buying maniasContinue reading “Additional Elliott Wave Confirmation”

The Clearest Elliott Wave Roadmap

Elliott Wave analysis provides a roadmap of where a market or a stock could potentially be in its cycle.  When studying the stock market, the S&P 500 (SPX) because of its large capitalization and following usually has the clearest Elliott Wave patterns.  Analysis is enhanced by comparing the wave counts of one stock index vs.Continue reading “The Clearest Elliott Wave Roadmap”

Important S&P 500 Bottom on 10/7/20?

Sometimes in Elliott Wave analysis its difficult to differentiate wave degree, this happens when one movement is smaller/larger than waves of the same degree.  This appears to be the case soon after the S&P 500 (SPX) bottom of 9/24/20.  The first rally and decline could be the first two waves of a five wave ElliottContinue reading “Important S&P 500 Bottom on 10/7/20?”