Evidence was presented in the 08/07/22 blog “The Interest Rate Bull Market” that U.S interest rates may have begun a multi-year bull market. Since then, several blogs on this website forecasted interest rates could continue to climb. The 09/10/26 blog “Upside Targets for U.S. Treasury Yields – September 2026” noted the yields for U.S. 30Continue reading “Are U.S. Interest Rates Still in a Bull Market?”
Author Archives: Mark Rivest
Russell 2000 – Death Cross Update – 11/12/26
The 10/26/26 blog “Russell 2000 – Approaching a Death Cross – October 2026” illustrated that the U.S. small cap index – Russell 2000 (RUT) was nearing a “Death Cross”. The daily RUT chart courtesy of Trading View updates its action. A Death Cross happens when the 50 – Simple Moving Average (SMA) crosses below theContinue reading “Russell 2000 – Death Cross Update – 11/12/26”
Comparison of the 1987 and 2020 Crashes
An examination of the S&P 500 (SPX) crashes in 1987 and 2020 could give clues to what may happen in late 2026. The first daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View examines the August to October 1987 crash. SPX had two panic points, the second panic point was the most significant, triggering the massive oneContinue reading “Comparison of the 1987 and 2020 Crashes”
Mini Stock Market Crash in November 2026?
A break below a key S&P 500 (SPX) support level could soon trigger a mini crash. From August to October 1987 – SPX declined 35%. In the Covid crash of 2020 – SPX fell 35%. In both the 1987 and 2020 crashes SPX broke below key support, fell rapidly and bottomed just below the nextContinue reading “Mini Stock Market Crash in November 2026?”
The Final Rally of a Dying Bull Market?
Fear sends stocks lower; hope lifts them. Because fear is more intense than hope, most stock bear markets reach their climax in a single day. Stock bull markets can peak over a period of several weeks, sometimes months. What happened in the U.S. stock market on 11/04/26 may have been the final peak of theContinue reading “The Final Rally of a Dying Bull Market?”
Major Breakthroughs! – 11/05/26
The relentless selling of U.S. stocks on 11/05/26 is probably the start of a multi-week decline. This website’s previous blog post suggested that the S&P 500 (SPX) may have been in an upward post-triangle thrust following an Elliott wave Horizontal Triangle. The invalidation level for the Horizontal Triangle was the 10/30/26 bottom at 7,527.55. NotContinue reading “Major Breakthroughs! – 11/05/26”
Post Triangle Thrust Up – 11/04/26
The 10/30/26 blog “Elliott Wave Update – 10/30/26” speculated that the S&P 500 (SPX) from early August may have been forming an Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle. The SPX daily chart from that blog is illustrated below. The one – hour SPX chart courtesy of Trading View shows what happened. The bottom made on 10/30/26Continue reading “Post Triangle Thrust Up – 11/04/26”
Nasdaq New Highs Minus New Lows – 10/30/26
Since their all-time highs the three main U.S. stock indices have declined as follows. S&P 500, down 3%. Dow Jones Industrial Average, down 5%. Nasdaq Composite (IXIC), down 8%. The main reason IXIC is down the most is because of the technology sector. As of 10/30/26 the Technology sector ETF – XLK was down 11%Continue reading “Nasdaq New Highs Minus New Lows – 10/30/26”
Gaps Down and New All-Time Highs
On 10/30/26 two of the three main U.S. stock indices gapped down while three S&P 500 sectors made new all-time highs. This unusual combination implies near term bullishness for U.S. stocks. The daily S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) charts courtesy of Trading View show their relationship since July 2026. Their moves down onContinue reading “Gaps Down and New All-Time Highs”
Elliott Wave Update – 10/30/26
The 10/29/26 blog “Elliott Wave Examination of Two U.S. Stock indices” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) could be forming an Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle. That pattern could still be forming. However, the SPX gap down on 10/30/26 has changed the configuration. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the Elliott waveContinue reading “Elliott Wave Update – 10/30/26”
