Mark Rivest

Crude Oil Reaches – 100.00

The prior two Crude Oil blogs on this website noted that Oil bulls were out of time. The 09/06/26 blog illustrated important Crude Oil resistance at 90.00. The bulls were able to blast above the resistance level and reached 100.00. A break above 100.00 next week could open the door to 113.00 and beyond. Continue reading “Crude Oil Reaches – 100.00”

Upside Targets for U.S. Treasury Yields – September 2026

Yields on long and short – term U.S. Treasury Debt have been rising. If the trend continues it could have an adverse effect on the U.S. economy and stocks. The monthly – 30 – year Treasury Yield chart (TYX) courtesy of Trading View shows the very long – term view. Currently monthly RSI has aContinue reading “Upside Targets for U.S. Treasury Yields – September 2026”

Are Oil Bulls Out of Time? – Part – Two

In the 08/30/26 blog “Are Oil Bulls Out of Time?” it appeared that Crude Oil may have completed or was close to completion of an Elliott wave – Inverse Horizontal Triangle. The blog noted that a move above the 08/21/26 peak at 85.46 was bullish. This movement did happen and invalidated the presumed Inverse HorizontalContinue reading “Are Oil Bulls Out of Time? – Part – Two”

Watching the Trend Lines – September 2026

Recently many U.S. stocks have been in a sideways channel. A trend line break could provide an important signal. The daily charts of S&P 500 (SPX), Financial sector – ETF (XLF), and Technology sector – ETF (XLK) examines their relationship. After the late March to June- XLK led the U.S. stock market with an amazingContinue reading “Watching the Trend Lines – September 2026”

Shanghai Composite Long -Term Forecast

Recently views of this website in the Peoples Republic of China have greatly increased. Welcome! Today’s blog focuses on the long – term Elliott wave count for the Shanghai Composite index and what may develop in the next few years. The monthly chart for the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index – SSE – Trading ViewContinue reading “Shanghai Composite Long -Term Forecast”

Are Oil Bulls Out of Time?

The 08/16/26 blog “Crude Oil Near-Term Target – 95.00” noted “Momentum and Elliott wave structure imply Crude Oil could reach 95.00 in early September 2026”. Since then, price has risen, yet not as robust as expected. Seasonal and fundamental factors could soon bring downward pressure on price. The WTI Crude Oil Futures Seasonality chart courtesyContinue reading “Are Oil Bulls Out of Time?”

Emotional Spike Up – 08/28/26

U.S stocks on 08/28/26 had a sharp spike up followed by a deep decline. This movement could mark an important secondary peak. The 15 – minute S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View shows what’s happened with this index since it’s all-time high on 08/13/26. The SPX move to marginal to a new lowContinue reading “Emotional Spike Up – 08/28/26”

In the Lunar Zone – August 2026

The 08/22/26 blog “First Wave Down – 08/21/26” noted “The “buy the dip” stock bulls of 2026 probably view the recent drop as another great opportunity and could push SPX up to the 7,740 to 7,760 area.” This target zone has been reached. An important secondary peak could occur on 08/27/26 or 08/28/26. The hourlyContinue reading “In the Lunar Zone – August 2026”

Spring Bottoms – Summer Peaks

Broad U.S. stock market seasonals patterns usually have peaks in April or May then a decline into October. The old saying “Sell in May and go away”. There are of course exceptions to this broad pattern. Two fascinating instances could provide clues to what may happen later in 2026. The weekly Dow Jones Industrial AverageContinue reading ” Spring Bottoms – Summer Peaks”

First Wave Down – 08/21/26

This website prior blog noted. “SPX is declining in a clear Elliott – Impulse pattern. If so, this could be the first wave down of a larger developing five wave pattern.” The S&P 500 (SPX) rally on 08/21/26 confirms this five-wave pattern is complete and could be just the start of a multi-week decline. TheContinue reading “First Wave Down – 08/21/26”