Very Important Trendline – 08/29/25

On 08/27/25 and 08/28/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) made all-time highs unconfirmed by the other two main U.S. stock indices: Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite.  This is a major bearish momentum divergence.  However, on 08/28/25, VIX made a new post 04/07/25 bottom.  All the major SPX peaks since March 2000 have occurred withContinue reading “Very Important Trendline – 08/29/25”

Microsoft Update – 08/22/25

The 06/07/25 blog “The Strongest Magnificent Seven Stock” noted that at that time Microsoft (MSFT) was the only one of the “Magnificent Seven” stocks to make a new all-time high.  Since then, there have been other “Magnificent Seven” to make new all-time highs.  However, for the week ending 08/2/25 only Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) reached aContinue reading “Microsoft Update – 08/22/25”

Rally into a Lunar Cycle – 08/22/25

At 10:00 AM – EDT on 08/22/25 the text of FOMC chairman Powell was released.  The U.S. stock market immediately had a huge rally which could be the climax of the bull market that began on 04/07/25. Markets sometimes turn on New/Full Moons plus or minus two trading days.  There’s a New Moon on SaturdayContinue reading “Rally into a Lunar Cycle – 08/22/25”

Comparison of the S&P 500 in 1987 vs. 2025

There are two seasonal bearish patterns for U.S. stocks.  April through May and August through October.  In 2025 the S&P 500 (SPX) is roughly following the seasonal pattern it took in 1987. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened in 1987 and 2025. The SPX peaked in April 1987 then hadContinue reading “Comparison of the S&P 500 in 1987 vs. 2025”

Trendline and RSI Analysis – S&P 500 – 07/25/25

Examination of three-time scales reveals interesting clues for the S&P 500 (SPX). The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long-term view. Last week the SPX went marginally above the long-term rising trendline connecting the January 2022 and February 2025 peaks.  This movement corresponded with a significant weekly RSI bearish divergence.  The combinationContinue reading “Trendline and RSI Analysis – S&P 500 – 07/25/25”

Pushing Towards the Trendline?

The S&P 500 (SPX) all-time high on 07/15/25 invalidated the potential Lunar signal made at the 07/10/25 Full Moon.  The rising long – term SPX trendline could still be an important resistance area. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. If in the next few trading days, the SPX reaches aContinue reading “Pushing Towards the Trendline?”

Bitcoin Lunar Signal – 07/11/25

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has a lunar signal like the S&P 500. The daily BTCUSD chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action. BTCUSD has hit a long – term rising trendline at the time of a Full Moon with an RSI bearish divergence.  This combination of factors implies BTCUSD could be on the cusp of atContinue reading “Bitcoin Lunar Signal – 07/11/25”

Lunar Alert – 07/11/25

On 07/10/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) moved above the prior weekly high invalidating a bearish Strat combo.   However, the new high occurred on a Full Moon with an important daily bearish momentum signal. The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the long view. The 07/04/25 blog “Pre Holiday Stock Rally – 07/03/25” illustratedContinue reading “Lunar Alert – 07/11/25”

Discovering Potential Support Areas

If the S&P 500 (SPX) soon declines, two methodologies could discover potential support zones. The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates a possible Strat combo for the week of 07/07/25 to 07/11/25. The Strat method is very simple and can identify possible breakthrough points and potential targets areas. The method utilizes three priceContinue reading “Discovering Potential Support Areas”