Mark Rivest

Ending Diagonal Triangle Update – 01/15/26

The 01/08/26 blog “Upside Target Reached – 01/08/26” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) could be forming an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle. This pattern is still the highest probable wave count, however with a change of the internal wave structure. The SPX one-hour courtesy of Trading View illustrates the updated wave count.Continue reading “Ending Diagonal Triangle Update – 01/15/26”

Sentiment – U.S. Stock Market – January 2026

Market sentiment can be measured in two ways; bets made by traders such as Put and Call options, or by polling. Market Vane began polling market opinions in 1964. Their Bullish Consensus is the degree of bullish sentiment for a particular market. The Bullish Consensus is compiled by tracking the buy and sell recommendations ofContinue reading “Sentiment – U.S. Stock Market – January 2026”

Momentum for U.S. Stocks – 01/09/26

The release of the monthly U.S. Non-Farm Payroll report at 8:30 AM – EDT on 01/09/26 triggered a rally in U.S stock Futures. When the cash S&P 500 session began there was a five – minute rally followed by a 30 – minute decline. After that drop the S&P 500 rallied to a new all-timeContinue reading “Momentum for U.S. Stocks – 01/09/26”

Upside Target Reached – 01/08/26

Several of this website’s blogs have noted the S&P 500 (SPX) had potentially significant Fibonacci resistance at 6,958.48. On 01/07/26 SPX peaked at 6,965.69. The 30- minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. The presumed Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle from the 11/21/25 bottom could be complete. The 30 – minuteContinue reading “Upside Target Reached – 01/08/26”

Intraday S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Count – 01/02/26

There are always alternate Elliott wave counts. One S&P 500 (SPX) path points to potentially important resistance. The 30-minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View shows a possible Elliott wave count. The SPX 12/26/25 to 01/02/26 decline has two Elliott wave interpretations. The entire drop could be a correction of the prior uptrend. Specifically, anContinue reading “Intraday S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Count – 01/02/26”

Important S&P 500 – Point for January 2026

Markets can sometimes have significant turns on or near the cusp of a new year. What happened with the S&P 500 (SPX) in December 2025 could be the inverse of what happened in December 2018. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened late 2018 and early 2019. From October to DecemberContinue reading “Important S&P 500 – Point for January 2026”

Three Bearish Factors – 01/01/26

Early January 2026 could be the cusp of a multi-month decline for U.S. stocks. The first bearish factor is potential Fibonacci resistance. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrated in this website 12/27/25 blog is reposted below. SPX 12/27/25 peak was 6,945.77 close to and within leeway of major Fibonacci resistance at 6,958.48. Continue reading “Three Bearish Factors – 01/01/26”

Parabolic Silver – December 2025

When an asset’s price rises at an accelerating, exponential rate it forms a steep curve on a chart. This is called going parabolic, and it’s what’s happening to Silver. The monthly Silver in U.S. dollars chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates its long-term action. Several of the blogs on this website have noted that mostContinue reading “Parabolic Silver – December 2025”

Rendezvous of Price and Time – December 2025

The 12/18/25 blog “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025- Part – Two” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) could be forming an Elliott Wave – Horizontal Triangle. The subsequent rally above the SPX 12/11/25 peak has invalidated that wave count. SPX has reached an all-time and is close to potentially major FibonacciContinue reading “Rendezvous of Price and Time – December 2025”

Elliott Wave Analysis of U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yields – 12/19/25

Long- Term U.S. Treasury yields could soon be thrusting higher. The daily CBOE 30 – year Treasury Bond yield chart (TYX) courtesy of Trading View illustrates its action since July 2023. TYX soon could be completing an Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle underway since the October 2023 peak. These structures are net sideways corrective patternsContinue reading “Elliott Wave Analysis of U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yields – 12/19/25”