Recently many U.S. stocks have been in a sideways channel. A trend line break could provide an important signal. The daily charts of S&P 500 (SPX), Financial sector – ETF (XLF), and Technology sector – ETF (XLK) examines their relationship. After the late March to June- XLK led the U.S. stock market with an amazingContinue reading “Watching the Trend Lines – September 2026”
Author Archives: Mark Rivest
Shanghai Composite Long -Term Forecast
Recently views of this website in the Peoples Republic of China have greatly increased. Welcome! Today’s blog focuses on the long – term Elliott wave count for the Shanghai Composite index and what may develop in the next few years. The monthly chart for the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index – SSE – Trading ViewContinue reading “Shanghai Composite Long -Term Forecast”
Are Oil Bulls Out of Time?
The 08/16/26 blog “Crude Oil Near-Term Target – 95.00” noted “Momentum and Elliott wave structure imply Crude Oil could reach 95.00 in early September 2026”. Since then, price has risen, yet not as robust as expected. Seasonal and fundamental factors could soon bring downward pressure on price. The WTI Crude Oil Futures Seasonality chart courtesyContinue reading “Are Oil Bulls Out of Time?”
Emotional Spike Up – 08/28/26
U.S stocks on 08/28/26 had a sharp spike up followed by a deep decline. This movement could mark an important secondary peak. The 15 – minute S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View shows what’s happened with this index since it’s all-time high on 08/13/26. The SPX move to marginal to a new lowContinue reading “Emotional Spike Up – 08/28/26”
In the Lunar Zone – August 2026
The 08/22/26 blog “First Wave Down – 08/21/26” noted “The “buy the dip” stock bulls of 2026 probably view the recent drop as another great opportunity and could push SPX up to the 7,740 to 7,760 area.” This target zone has been reached. An important secondary peak could occur on 08/27/26 or 08/28/26. The hourlyContinue reading “In the Lunar Zone – August 2026”
Spring Bottoms – Summer Peaks
Broad U.S. stock market seasonals patterns usually have peaks in April or May then a decline into October. The old saying “Sell in May and go away”. There are of course exceptions to this broad pattern. Two fascinating instances could provide clues to what may happen later in 2026. The weekly Dow Jones Industrial AverageContinue reading ” Spring Bottoms – Summer Peaks”
First Wave Down – 08/21/26
This website prior blog noted. “SPX is declining in a clear Elliott – Impulse pattern. If so, this could be the first wave down of a larger developing five wave pattern.” The S&P 500 (SPX) rally on 08/21/26 confirms this five-wave pattern is complete and could be just the start of a multi-week decline. TheContinue reading “First Wave Down – 08/21/26”
Slow Rollover of U.S. Stocks – August 2026
Since the S&P 500 (SPX) reached a solo all-time high on 08/13/26, U.S. stocks have gradually and quietly declined. This could be the start of a much larger drop. The daily SPX chart courtesy of StockCharts.com illustrates external momentum. Daily Slow Stochastic had a bearish line cross in the overbought zone and has now crossedContinue reading “Slow Rollover of U.S. Stocks – August 2026”
Crude Oil Near-Term Target – 95.00
Momentum and Elliott wave structure imply Crude Oil could reach 95.00 in early September 2026. The daily continuous Crude Oil futures (CL2!) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates its action. From an Elliott wave perspective, the important area to focus on is what happened after the 07/02/26 bottom at 67.12. Please note that after theContinue reading “Crude Oil Near-Term Target – 95.00”
The Leading U.S. Stock Index?
On 08/14/26 none of the three main U.S. stock indices; S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, or Nasdaq Composite made new all-time highs. However, the small cap index – Russell 2000 (RUT) made a new all-time high. Is this this a sign of more upside action or the bulls last gasp? The daily RUT chartContinue reading “The Leading U.S. Stock Index?”
