After the S&P 500 (SPX) 01/04/22 top the declines and rallies have been three – wave structures and appears be an Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle which may have completed at the low made on 02/17/22. The SPX 30 – minute chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the wave structure. There are Fibonacci relationships amongContinue reading “Potential Stock Buying Opportunity on 02-18-22”
Author Archives: Mark Rivest
Bears Push Further into Support Zone
The blog “S&P 500 Reaches Support Zone – 02-11-22” illustrated that the Trading View index SPX500 had bottomed at the upper boundary of a nine-column row on the 30- minute Point & Figure chart. The 30- minute Point & Figure chart courtesy of Trading View updates the progress of SPX500. Today 02/14/22 the SPX500 pushedContinue reading “Bears Push Further into Support Zone”
S&P 500 Reaches Support Zone – 02-11-22
Markets are perpetual battles between bulls and bears, each side testing support/resistance points and attempting breakthroughs. The 30 – minute S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates a recent battle. On 02/09/22 and 02/10/22 the bulls attempted a breakthrough of the peak made on 02/02/22. Both attempts failed with the second trust upContinue reading ” S&P 500 Reaches Support Zone – 02-11-22″
Comparison of S&P 500 – 2007 and 2022 Tops
The 01/24/22 blog “Something Different is Happening” noted that the S&P 500 (SPX) January 2022 decline indicated a bear market may have begun. The vast majority of individual US stocks are probably in a bear market. What about the main US stock indices, could any of them still make a new all-time high? The 02/02/22Continue reading “Comparison of S&P 500 – 2007 and 2022 Tops”
Bullish Crossover
Today 02/02/22 the S&P 500 (SPX) crossed above 4582.24, the bottom of the supposed Minute wave “i”. In a standard Elliott impulse wave the fourth wave can not cross into the territory of wave “one.” This crossover invalidates the standard impulse wave count and increases the chance of a new SPX all-time high. The dailyContinue reading “Bullish Crossover”
The Bulls Strike Back
Elliott wave “fours” in standard impulse waves are normally shallow usually retracing a Fibonacci .382 of the third wave, or .382 of the movement from the start of wave “one” to the end of wave “three”. The reason for shallow retracements is that at whatever time scale, a change of trend is perceived, and counterContinue reading “The Bulls Strike Back”
Bearish Internal Momentum
The 01/24/22 blog “Something Different is Happening” focused on what are sometimes referred to as external indicators such as price levels and moving averages, these are factors that are known to the vast majority of traders/investors. The 01/24/22 blog noted three bearish external events. The S&P 500 (SPX) went 4.7% below its 200 – dayContinue reading “Bearish Internal Momentum”
Choppy Rallies and Choppy Declines
Since the S&P 500 (SPX) decline bottom made on 01/24/22 the moves up have been choppy, and the moves down have been choppy. An Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle could be forming. This structure was examined the 01/14/22 blog “Important Cycle Point – 01-14-22” and in the 01/19/22 blog “Horizontal Triangle Update – 01-19-22.” HorizontalContinue reading ” Choppy Rallies and Choppy Declines”
The Next S&P 500 – Support Level
The daily S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long – term Elliott wave count and the next potential support zone. The Fibonacci .236 retrace level of the SPX bull market from the March 2020 bottom is at SPX 4198.71. Just below this is the bottom made on 06/18/21 at 4164.40. ThisContinue reading “The Next S&P 500 – Support Level”
Something Different is Happening
The daily S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action on 01/24/22. The SPX went 4.7% below its 200 – day Moving Average (MA). Moves of more than 2% below the 200 – day- MA imply something more bearish developing. At today’s low the SPX had declined 12.4% from the all-time highContinue reading “Something Different is Happening”