Mark Rivest

Possible US Stock Market Top – December 2021

The 08/22/20 blog “Forecast – Bull Market Termination Date – 2021” illustrated a fascinating web of Fibonacci time relationships connecting major Dow Jones Industrial Average tops/bottoms going back eighty-nine years. These time relationships pointed to a potential turn in 2021. This type of time forecasts does not predict a top or a bottom, only aContinue reading “Possible US Stock Market Top – December 2021”

Comparison of Crude Oil and the US Stock Market

For several months evidence has suggested the US stock market could be approaching the end of the bull run since at least March 2020. A long-term comparison of the S&P 500 (SPX) with Crude Oil – WTI (CL2!) may give us a preview of what could happen in the next few months. The monthly CL2!Continue reading “Comparison of Crude Oil and the US Stock Market”

Hourly Bearish Divergences

Today 10/22/21 both the S&P 500 (SPX) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) made new all-time highs breaking the “Rule of Majority” signal noted the prior blog. This is additional evidence that the intermediate path for US stocks is bullish. Shorter term momentum evidence strongly suggests a correction of recent rally is imminent. TheContinue reading “Hourly Bearish Divergences”

Potential Lunar Signal October – 2021

Occasionally full/new moons can signal market tops/bottoms. On 09/07/21 the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) made a new all-time high unconfirmed by the other two main US stock indices, S&P 500 (SPX) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI). I call this a “Rule of the Majority” signal – when one of the three main stock indices makesContinue reading “Potential Lunar Signal October – 2021”

Short – Term Target of Opportunity

The “S&P 500 Near Important Support 10-14-21” blog noted the S&P 500 (SPX) was near overhead and Fibonacci resistance in the SPX 4440 to 4465 area. Subsequently the SPX pushed above the resistance and has now reached the final resistance zone of the 09/02/21 to 10/04/21 decline. Trading View has an index called SPX500 whichContinue reading “Short – Term Target of Opportunity”

NYSE Composite Leads the Way

In the prior two trading days the NYSE Composite (NYA) has blasted up to near its all-time high made on 09/02/21. The daily NYA chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates its recent action. Note the RSI is now above the level recorded at 09/02/21, this is a bullish divergence and implies the bull trend couldContinue reading “NYSE Composite Leads the Way”

Bullish Breakout 10-15-21

The 10/14/21 blog noted that the S&P 500 (SPX) was near an important resistance zone that went up to SPX 4465.40. On 10/15/21 the SPX punched through this resistance zone which opens the door for a move up to at least the all-time high made on 09/02/21. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading ViewContinue reading “Bullish Breakout 10-15-21”

S&P 500 Near Important Resistance 10-14-21

Today 10/14/21 the S&P 500 (SPX) rallied to just below important resistance. Fibonacci .618 retrace of the 09/02/21 to 10/04/21 decline. Maximum volume using the Market Profile method on S&P 500 E-Mini futures is near the .618 retracement. Broad chart overhead resistance. The SPX 60 – minute chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the actionContinue reading “S&P 500 Near Important Resistance 10-14-21”

Nasdaq Composite – Detailed Elliott Wave Count

First some clarification about the prior two blogs. In the “Three Possible Elliott Wave Count” post there were only two charts shown. The first chart illustrated two of the possible wave counts – the potential end of the Double Zigzag count and a possible continuation of the Double Zigzag. The second chart examined the possibleContinue reading ” Nasdaq Composite – Detailed Elliott Wave Count”

Are Stock Bulls in Control?

Today’s 10/07/21 powerful opening rally of US stocks added evidence that the decline from early September is probably a correction within an ongoing bull market. The big question – is the S&P 500 (SPX) 10/04/21 bottom the end of the correction? What happened during today’s trading session puts doubt in the case that a newContinue reading ” Are Stock Bulls in Control?”