The speculative forces that drive Stocks and Bitcoin roughly trend together. The daily S&P 500 (SPX) and Bitcoin in US dollars (BTCUSD) courtesy of Trading View illustrates their relationship. Both made tops in early 2020 and had crash bottoms March of 2020. BTCUSD made its all-time high on 11/10/21 the SPX topped on 01/04/22. OctoberContinue reading ” “Growth” of $10,000″
Category Archives: Sentiment
Momentum and Sentiment Indicator Review – 05/13/22
The 05/12/22 blog “ Nasdaq is Extremely Oversold” illustrated the weekly Nasdaq Composite – Slow Stochastic. The weekly Nasdaq Composite chart (COMP) courtesy of BigCharts.com updates the action. Weekly Slow Stochastic now has a bullish lines crossover in the oversold zone. Additionally, COMP went deeply below the lower Bollinger band and has moved back aboveContinue reading “Momentum and Sentiment Indicator Review – 05/13/22”
US Stock Market Momentum and Sentiment – Part Two – 05-02-22
Today 05/02/22 the S&P 500 (SPX) went below its 02/24/22 bottom eliminating the bullish divergence of only the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) making new decline lows. While eliminating the bullish divergence there are others made by the new SPX low. The combined daily SPX and VIX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the bullish divergences. TheContinue reading “US Stock Market Momentum and Sentiment – Part Two – 05-02-22”
US Stock Market Momentum and Sentiment 04-29-22
On 04/29/22 the US Stock market represented by the three main stock indices; S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) wiped out a powerful rally made on 04/28/22. Could this be the start of a crash? Perhaps, anything is possible. However, a review of momentum and sentiment readings for USContinue reading “US Stock Market Momentum and Sentiment 04-29-22 “
Examination of the Weakest Main US Stock Index
From 04/21/22 to 04/27/22 the main US stock indices, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), Nasdaq Composite (IXIC), and S&P 500 (SPX) had a powerful and sharp drops. Today 04/28/22 the US Gross domestic product report indicated a 1.4% contraction in the first quarter of 2022. All three main US stock indices rallied strongly on theContinue reading “Examination of the Weakest Main US Stock Index”
Could US Stocks Rally Until August 2021?
Typically, “window dressing” occurs on the last trading day of a quarter. Stock fund managers buy top performing stocks on the last trading day of the quarter to show they have these winners in their portfolios. This usually causes an upward move in at least one of the three main indices. The S&P 500 (SPX)Continue reading “Could US Stocks Rally Until August 2021?”
Two – Bearish Signals
The 06/24//21 blog noted “If the SPX makes a marginal new high unconfirmed by the IXIC and the Dow Jones Industrial Average with a higher VIX bottom, it could be the end of the persistent rally.” The daily VIX/SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened on 06/25/21. The S&P 500 (SPX) made aContinue reading “Two – Bearish Signals”
Bearish Momentum and Sentiment Signals – Part Two
My original intention was for this blog to give a comprehensive view of evidence from all four market dimensions: price, time, momentum, and sentiment. There’s just too much data, so this post will focus on additional long- and short-term momentum/sentiment evidence. The weekly S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates long-term momentum/sentiment signals.Continue reading “Bearish Momentum and Sentiment Signals – Part Two”
Bearish Momentum and Sentiment Signals – June 2021
June 15,2021 could be an important date in the history of the US stock market. In the first minute of trading the S&P 500 (SPX) made a new all-time high then went down. Also, the daily VIX recorded a higher bottom vs. the SPX new high. As noted in several blogs this is a reliableContinue reading “Bearish Momentum and Sentiment Signals – June 2021”
Bullish VIX Signal
The Chicago Board Options Exchange’s volatility index (VIX) has a reliable history of signaling S&P 500 (SPX) tops. Some analysts/traders believe the VIX making a new low is bearish. This in most instances is a bullish signal. The daily VIX/SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates their action since late 2019. Note the SPX 05/07/21Continue reading “Bullish VIX Signal”