Curious Non – Confirmation – Part Two

The 09/28/22 blog concluded with this note, “It’s too soon to declare a double bottom is  in place vs. the June bottoms.  Let’s see what the bears can do on 09/29/22.”  Subsequently the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) made new bear market lows while the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) and Russell 2000Continue reading “Curious Non – Confirmation – Part Two”

A Review of Momentum and Sentiment Indicators – 09/21/22

On the FOMC interest rate announcement day, US stocks continued to decline.  The daily S&P 500 (SPX) – RSI bullish divergence was eliminated.   This blog updates the actions of two internal momentum indicators. The daily chart courtesy of examines  US New Highs  minus New Lows (5-day total – end of day) symbol ($USHL5).Continue reading A Review of Momentum and Sentiment Indicators – 09/21/22

  A Review of Sentiment Indicators – 9/16/22

A through analysis of any market requires the examination of all four market dimensions, price, time, sentiment and momentum.  The weight of evidence could help determine a markets probable course.  Each dimension has various factors to be weighed.  This blog focus is on the sentiment dimension. The daily S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of TradingContinue reading ”  A Review of Sentiment Indicators – 9/16/22″

Excessive Bearish Sentiment

The 09/01/22 blog “Day of Decision -09-02-22” illustrated that The S&P 500 (SPX) 09/01/22 bottom was made without an  hourly RSI bullish divergence. The hourly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action of the RSI indicator.  On 09/06/22 the SPX broke below the 09/01/22 bottom. It also  marginally broke  below the rising  trendlineContinue reading “Excessive Bearish Sentiment”

Rally and Retracement

The prior blog “Day of Decision  – 09/02/22” noted that the US monthly payroll report release on 09/02/22 could decide the near-term direction for US stocks. The reaction to the payroll report was bullish and the S&P 500 (SPX) climbed 1.3% above the 09/01/22 closing level.   Then one – hour after the SPX 09/02/22Continue reading “Rally and Retracement”

   “Growth” of $10,000

The speculative forces  that drive Stocks  and  Bitcoin roughly trend together. The daily S&P 500 (SPX) and Bitcoin in US dollars (BTCUSD) courtesy of Trading View illustrates their relationship. Both made tops in early 2020 and had crash bottoms March of 2020.  BTCUSD made its all-time high on 11/10/21 the SPX topped on 01/04/22. OctoberContinue reading ”   “Growth” of $10,000″

Momentum and Sentiment Indicator Review – 05/13/22

The 05/12/22 blog “ Nasdaq is  Extremely Oversold”  illustrated the weekly Nasdaq Composite – Slow Stochastic. The weekly Nasdaq Composite chart (COMP) courtesy of updates the action. Weekly Slow Stochastic now has a bullish lines crossover in the oversold zone.  Additionally, COMP went deeply below the lower Bollinger band and has  moved back aboveContinue reading “Momentum and Sentiment Indicator Review – 05/13/22”

US Stock Market Momentum and Sentiment – Part Two – 05-02-22

Today 05/02/22 the S&P 500 (SPX) went below its 02/24/22 bottom eliminating the bullish divergence  of only the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) making new  decline lows.  While eliminating the bullish divergence  there are others made by the new SPX low. The combined daily SPX and VIX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates  the  bullish divergences. TheContinue reading “US Stock Market Momentum and Sentiment – Part Two – 05-02-22”

US Stock Market Momentum and Sentiment 04-29-22               

On 04/29/22 the US Stock market represented by the three main stock indices; S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) wiped out a powerful rally made on 04/28/22.  Could this be  the start of a crash?  Perhaps, anything is  possible.  However, a review of momentum and sentiment readings  for USContinue reading “US Stock Market Momentum and Sentiment 04-29-22               “