Sharp Stock Reversal – Part – Three

Objectivity is the most important trait that traders must have.  Traders objectively analyze the balance of evidence before acting.  If the evidence indicates a market/stock could rise – it does rally but is subsequently quickly reversed, then conditions have change.  If conditions changed, then you must objectively view the new evidence produced from the change.Continue reading “Sharp Stock Reversal – Part – Three”

Bullish Momentum Signals – 04-14-22

The 04/12/22 blog “S&P 500 Decline is Losing Momentum” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) 30 – minute MACD and RSI indicators were showing bullish divergences.  On 04/14/22 internal momentum indicators were also showing bullish divergences. The daily NYSE – Advance – Decline Issues ($NYAD) courtesy of StockCharts.com illustrates the NYSE Advance/Decline line. On 04/11/22Continue reading “Bullish Momentum Signals – 04-14-22”

S&P 500  Decline is Losing Momentum

The 30-minute S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the recent action. At the 04/12/22 low there were double bullish divergences on the 30- minute MACD and RSI.  The overall drop since the 03/29/22 high is choppy and characteristic of Elliott wave – Double Zigzag corrective patterns. The SPX Bullish Percent Index brokeContinue reading “S&P 500  Decline is Losing Momentum”

Three Paths For the S&P 500 04-11-22

Today 04/11/22 the S&P 500 (SPX) broke below important support at 4450 and opened the door for three possible Elliott wave counts.  Two of the counts assume a  new bear market is under development. One wave count assumes the SPX drop from 03/29/22 is a correction within an ongoing bull market.       The first 30Continue reading “Three Paths For the S&P 500 04-11-22”

  Diverging  Trendlines

The main characteristic of an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle is  it’s  wedge shape between converging  trendlines.  The supposed S&P 500 (SPX) Ending Diagonal Triangle (EDT) from the 01/04/22 peak now has diverging  trendlines. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the recent action. Could an Expanding – EDT  be forming –Continue reading ”  Diverging  Trendlines”

 Trendline Break Through

Today 03/17/22 the S&P 500 (SPX) continued to move above the trendline connecting the supposed wave “two” top – 02/09/22 with the supposed wave “four” top – 03/03/22 of a presumed Elliott wave Ending Diagonal Triangle from the all-time high on 01/04/22. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading  View illustrates  the declining  trendlines. TheContinue reading ” Trendline Break Through”

      Examination of US and German Stock Markets

After the 02/24/22 bottom US stocks appeared to be poised for a rapid move up, but after two days a trading range developed. Meanwhile,  German stocks as  measured by the DEU40 have continued to make new decline lows. Evidence from the DEU40 could be providing clues as  to the near-term direction for the global stockContinue reading ”      Examination of US and German Stock Markets”

Important US Stock Market Bottom Could be in Place – 02-24-22

The  02/24/22 dramatic reversal  after a powerful decline may have created an important bottom for US stocks.  The daily S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of BigCharts.com illustrates  several bullish signals. There were bullish divergences on the daily Slow Stochastic, RSI and MACD vs. the higher bottom made on 01/24/22.  Slow Stochastic had a bullish linesContinue reading “Important US Stock Market Bottom Could be in Place – 02-24-22”