Mark Rivest

US Stock Market Momentum and Sentiment 04-29-22

On 04/29/22 the US Stock market represented by the three main stock indices; S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) wiped out a powerful rally made on 04/28/22. Could this be the start of a crash? Perhaps, anything is possible. However, a review of momentum and sentiment readings for USContinue reading “US Stock Market Momentum and Sentiment 04-29-22 “

Examination of the Weakest Main US Stock Index

From 04/21/22 to 04/27/22 the main US stock indices, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), Nasdaq Composite (IXIC), and S&P 500 (SPX) had a powerful and sharp drops. Today 04/28/22 the US Gross domestic product report indicated a 1.4% contraction in the first quarter of 2022. All three main US stock indices rallied strongly on theContinue reading “Examination of the Weakest Main US Stock Index”

Sharp Stock Reversal – Part – Three

Objectivity is the most important trait that traders must have. Traders objectively analyze the balance of evidence before acting. If the evidence indicates a market/stock could rise – it does rally but is subsequently quickly reversed, then conditions have change. If conditions changed, then you must objectively view the new evidence produced from the change.Continue reading “Sharp Stock Reversal – Part – Three”

Sharp Stock Reversal – Part – Two

Today 04/22/22 the powerful stock decline that began 04/21/22 continued through the entire trading session. Today at the S&P 500 (SPX) open, traders sold half of a 50% long position on non-leveraged SPX related funds. The long entry was at the open of the SPX 04/18/22 session. SPX open price on 04/18/22 was 4385.63. SPXContinue reading “Sharp Stock Reversal – Part – Two”

Sharp Stock Reversal

Today 04/21/22 the S&P 500 (SPX) opened above the high made on 04/20/22. The rally lasted only 21 – minutes, what followed was steep drop that continued throughout the trading day. The few rally attempts were shallow, the bears dominated. The 5 – Minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action. The rallyContinue reading “Sharp Stock Reversal”

Possible S&P 500 – Full Moon Bottom 04-18-22

There was a Full Moon on Saturday 04/16/22, using a leeway of plus two trading days targeted either 04/18/22 or 04/19/22 for a possible S&P 500 (SPX) bottom. On 04/18/22 the SPX made a new low of the decline that began on 03/29/22. The low for the day was 4370.30, main Fibonacci support noted inContinue reading “Possible S&P 500 – Full Moon Bottom 04-18-22”

Stock Market Bears are Losing the Battle

In Elliott wave theory the most powerful bullish or bearish formation is referred to as a series of “one’s” and “two’s.” In a bull market, using standard technical chart patterns this would be a rally followed by a base, then another rally/base. The rally after the second base is usually enormously powerful and dynamic. TheContinue reading “Stock Market Bears are Losing the Battle”

Possible Lunar Phase Signal

The 04/13/22 blog “Short – Term Bottom Forecast” illustrated a potential Fibonacci time cycle turn due late in the S&P 500 (SPX) 04/14/22 trading session. Fibonacci time cycles forecast market turns, not tops or bottoms. Market action going into the time cycle determines tops or bottoms. The SPX was declining into the 04/14/22 Fibonacci timeContinue reading “Possible Lunar Phase Signal”

Bullish Momentum Signals – 04-14-22

The 04/12/22 blog “S&P 500 Decline is Losing Momentum” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) 30 – minute MACD and RSI indicators were showing bullish divergences. On 04/14/22 internal momentum indicators were also showing bullish divergences. The daily NYSE – Advance – Decline Issues ($NYAD) courtesy of StockCharts.com illustrates the NYSE Advance/Decline line. On 04/11/22Continue reading “Bullish Momentum Signals – 04-14-22”

Possible Short-Term Bottom Made on 04-12-22

Recent blogs have noted that the S&P 500 (SPX) decline since the 03/29/22 high could be an Elliott wave – Double Zigzag corrective pattern. The SPX – 30 – minute chart courtesy of Trading View updates the Elliott wave count. The 04/13/22 blog “Short – Term Bottom Forecast” illustrated two possible SPX Elliott wave counts. Continue reading “Possible Short-Term Bottom Made on 04-12-22”