Mark Rivest

Swinging New Year

The open of the first trading day of 2023 had a sharp rally that threatened important resistance. The bears then repelled this advance with a sharp drop that failed to break below important support. The SPX – 15 – minute chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action since mid-December. A break below the risingContinue reading “Swinging New Year”

Persistent Bear Market Rallies

The U.S economy is suffering the highest inflation rates in forty years. The FOMC has been aggressively raising short -term interests rates. Is it possible for the S&P 500 (SPX) to rally above its 12/13/22 – 4,100 top? Two examples illustrate that the SPX can have persistent bear market rallies regardless of bearish factors. Continue reading ” Persistent Bear Market Rallies”

Short – Term Elliott Wave Count – 01/01/23

The prime S&P 500 (SPX) Elliott wave count from the 12/22/22 bottom is a series of “one’s” and “two’s” up. This is the most bullish Elliott wave configuration and the prelude to a powerful move up. The SPX 15-minute chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action. Minor wave “1” is a Leading Diagonal Triangle.Continue reading “Short – Term Elliott Wave Count – 01/01/23”

Bear Panic Point

During 2022 the U.S economy suffered the highest inflation rates in 40 – years. The prior high inflation era lasted from 1968 to 1980, it’s likely the current cycle could continue for at least several years. The FOMC has been aggressively raising short – term interest rates and are likely to continue raising rates. TheContinue reading “Bear Panic Point”

Basing for a Bigger Move Up? – 12/29/22

Extraordinary high Put/Call reading may have indicated an important bottom. Today 12/29/22 one trading day after a very high Put/Call ratio, the S&P 500 (SPX) rallied close to 2%. The hourly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates a potential base that began on 12/21/22. The SPX moved above maximum Fibonacci leeway at 3,850, notedContinue reading “Basing for a Bigger Move Up? – 12/29/22”

Curious Sentiment Spikes – Part – Two

The 12/18/22 blog “Curious Sentiment Spikes” noted some fascinating sentiment signals. What happened today, 12/28/22 with the Put/Call ratio (PC) was extraordinary. The daily PC and S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View shows some recent PC signals. The history of PC signals relative to the SPX since September are as follows. Investor’s BusinessContinue reading “Curious Sentiment Spikes – Part – Two”

Resistance Reached – 12/23/22

Markets are attracted to Fibonacci resistance/support areas. This websites 12/22/22 blog noted two S&P 500 (SPX) Fibonacci retracement points. At SPX 3,841.94 and 3,843.90, this resistance was reached on 12/23/22. The SPX – 15 – minute chart courtesy of Trading View shows what happened. Exact hits of Fibonacci coordinates are rare, therefore allow for leewayContinue reading ” Resistance Reached – 12/23/22″

Support Broken – 12/22/22

Today, 12/22/22 all three main U.S stock indices broke below an important bottom made on 12/20/22. In the first half of todays trading session the bears were totally in control, smashing prices relentlessly lower. It appeared the trend could be down the entire session, with the low of the day coming near or at theContinue reading ” Support Broken – 12/22/22″

S&P 500 – Bottoms at Support Level

The 12/17/22 blog “The Bear is Back – Part Two” illustrated two S&P 500 (SPX) Fibonacci support levels at 3,806.29 and 3,796.27. On 12/20/22 the SPX bottomed almost exactly at the lower level. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View shows what happened. An exact Fibonacci .50 retracement of the SPX October to DecemberContinue reading “S&P 500 – Bottoms at Support Level”

Curious Sentiment Spikes

Recent movements in the S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) and the Put/Call ratio (PC) reveal some fascinating signals. The daily VIX and S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View show a short- term signal and examples of intermediate – term signals. First a short – term signal. Note that on 12/12/22 the SPX hadContinue reading “Curious Sentiment Spikes”