Since 10/13/22 the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) has been the most bullish of the three main US stock indices. In only 21 -trading days the DJI has retraced 62.1% of a nine-month decline. The Golden Fibonacci ratio of .618 or 61.8% is frequently a support/resistance level. With a nearly precise hit of an importantContinue reading “Price Forecast for US Stock Market Top”
Author Archives: Mark Rivest
Time Forecast for US Stock Market Top
Fibonacci Time analysis could be the key to discovering an important stock market peak. Market movements can sometimes be measured by using Fibonacci ratio analysis for either price or time. For example, a market could have a decline lasting 70 – trading days followed by a rally of 43 – trading days. This would beContinue reading “Time Forecast for US Stock Market Top”
S&P 500 – Short -Term Elliott Wave Forecast – 11/11/22
This blog is an update to the S&P 500 (SPX) Elliott wave count posted on 11/09/22. The 30 – minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. The presumed Intermediate wave (2) bottomed on 11/03/22 and retraced almost an exact Fibonacci .50 retrace of Intermediate wave (1). The subsequent rally appears to beContinue reading “S&P 500 – Short -Term Elliott Wave Forecast – 11/11/22“
Follow the Leader – Part Two
The 11/05/22 blog “Follow the Leader” noted that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was the most bullish of the three main US stock indices, and to watch its 200 – day moving average (MA). Today, 11/10/22 the DJI has decisively broken above two resistance points implying the rally could continue for several weeks. TheContinue reading “Follow the Leader – Part Two“
S&P 500 – Short -Term Elliott Wave Forecast – 11/09/22
The SPX 500 (SPX) rally from 10/13/22 to 11/01/22 appears to have completed an extended Elliott wave impulse pattern. The 30 – minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action. The decline from the 11/01/22 top looks like a developing Zigzag correction. If so, it could complete near the 3,650 area which isContinue reading “S&P 500 – Short -Term Elliott Wave Forecast – 11/09/22“
Energy Stocks Lead the Way Up
The most bullish sector of the US stock market are the energy stocks. The SPDR Select Sector Fund – Energy Sector (XLE) is on the verge of making a new 2022 high. If this ETF continues to rally it could provide clues for a significant broader US stock market top. The 10/09/22 blog “The RelationshipContinue reading “Energy Stocks Lead the Way Up“
Follow the Leader
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) has retraced 50% of its 2022 bear move and is currently the most bullish of the three main US stock indices. The DJI action in the next few trading days could determine the direction of US stocks for the rest of 2022. No market indicator or system is effectiveContinue reading “Follow the Leader”
Bullish Evidence From the United Kingdom Stock Market
The prior blog “Bullish Evidence From the Mexican Stock Market” examined evidence from the main Mexican stock index – IPC Mexico (ME). The subject of this current blog is the United Kingdom main stock index – UK 100 (UKX). The daily UKX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates its action. The UKX like the MEContinue reading “Bullish Evidence From the United Kingdom Stock Market“
Bullish Evidence From the Mexican Stock Market
Traders/Investors could improve their chances of success by expanding the horizon of what they view. When it comes to trading national stock indices – take a global perspective. For example, if you trade one of the main US stock indices such as the S&P 500 (SPX), also watch what’s happening in other main national stockContinue reading “Bullish Evidence From the Mexican Stock Market“
The Most Bullish Month for Stocks – November
Sometimes successful investing/trading can be enhanced by simply looking at the calendar. Almost all markets have seasonal patterns, and for stocks, November has been the most bullish month. Does most bullish mean huge moves up in November? Not necessarily, while there are several instances of large November gains, sometimes the gains are small. As measuredContinue reading “The Most Bullish Month for Stocks – November“