Rounding Top for U.S. Stocks? – Part Two

This website 06/19/25 blog illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) had formed a rounding top – a prelude to a sharp decline. 06/20/25 was a quadruple witching day. This event occurs four times a year, specifically on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. These days, four types of financial derivatives expire simultaneously:Continue reading “Rounding Top for U.S. Stocks? – Part Two”

Rounding Top for U.S. Stocks?

The 06/15/25 blog “Termination Patterns Completed” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) probably completed an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle.  Usually after completion of this pattern there’s a rapid change of direction.  However, since the SPX 06/11/25 peak the tenacious bulls have kept prices in a sideways range.   Could this be the prelude toContinue reading “Rounding Top for U.S. Stocks?”

Crude Oil Spike Up – 06/13/25

The Israel attacks on Iran triggered a seven percent move up in Crude Oil price.  This surge could be the early part of a multi-month bull market. The monthly Crude Oil – Continuous contract (CL2!) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long-term view.  A three-year Crude Oil bear market may have concluded at theContinue reading “Crude Oil Spike Up – 06/13/25”

Bearish Flip Day for U.S. Stocks

There’s a high probability that U.S stocks have flipped from a bullish to bearish trend on 06/11/25. The daily S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. On 06/11/25 the SPX made a new post 04/07/25 rally high, yet it ended the session below the close of the 06/10/25 session. Also, thereContinue reading “Bearish Flip Day for U.S. Stocks”

Important Support and Resistance Levels for U.S. Stocks

Elliott wave patterns for the S&P 500 (SPX) reveal important points to watch on 06/09/25. After the 04/07/25 U.S. stock market bottom the Nasdaq 100 (NDQ) was leading the way higher.  In mid – May – NDQ had a subtle sign of weakness.  On 05/16/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) made a new rally high thatContinue reading “Important Support and Resistance Levels for U.S. Stocks”

The Strongest Magnificent Seven Stock

The prior blog “Tesla Downside Action” examined the weakest Magnificent Seven Stock – Tesla Inc.   The focus now shifts to the strongest Magnificent Seven stock – Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), which so far is the only one of the seven stocks to make a new all-time high. The weekly MSFT chart courtesy of Trading View illustratesContinue reading “The Strongest Magnificent Seven Stock”

Tesla Inc. Downside Action

The 06/01/25 blog “Could One Stock Signal a U.S. Bear Market?” noted that Tesla Inc. (TSLA) had generated amazing signals in the prior two trading days. The following daily chart courtesy of Trading View is a reprint of the TSLA chart illustrated in the 06//01/25 blog. The blog concluded with this forecast. “In the comingContinue reading “Tesla Inc. Downside Action”

Could One Stock Signal a U.S. Bear Market?

A major U.S. stock could be an important indicator for the near future. First a look at the big picture.  The daily S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (NDX) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates their relationship. The NDX since its 04/07/25 bottom has been the leader on the upside, gaining 31.3% vs. the SPXContinue reading “Could One Stock Signal a U.S. Bear Market?”

Stock Market Bulls Stike Back – 05/29/25

This website’s 05/25/25 blog illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) had a potentially bearish Elliott wave count.  As it turns out the SPX – 200 – day Simple Moving Average (SMA) line support held. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened. Most of the time a market or stock will trendContinue reading “Stock Market Bulls Stike Back – 05/29/25”

Potentially Very Bearish Elliott Wave Count – 05/23/25

A very sharp S&P 500 (SPX) decline could occur during the week of 05/27/25 to 05/30/25. The SPX 30 – minute chart courtesy of Trading View zooms in on the intraday Elliott wave count. It’s possible that the SPX move down from the 05/19/25 peak is an Elliott wave series of “one’s” and “two’s” down. Continue reading “Potentially Very Bearish Elliott Wave Count – 05/23/25”