Important S&P 500 – Point for January 2026

Markets can sometimes have significant turns on or near the cusp of a new year.   What happened with the S&P 500 (SPX) in December 2025 could be the inverse of what happened in December 2018. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened late 2018 and early 2019. From October to DecemberContinue reading “Important S&P 500 – Point for January 2026”

Three Bearish Factors – 01/01/26

Early January 2026 could be the cusp of a multi-month decline for U.S. stocks. The first bearish factor is potential Fibonacci resistance.  The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrated in this website 12/27/25 blog is reposted below. SPX 12/27/25 peak was 6,945.77 close to and within leeway of major Fibonacci resistance at 6,958.48.  Continue reading “Three Bearish Factors – 01/01/26”

Rendezvous of Price and Time – December 2025

The 12/18/25 blog “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025- Part – Two” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) could be forming an Elliott Wave – Horizontal Triangle.  The subsequent rally above the SPX 12/11/25 peak has invalidated that wave count.  SPX has reached an all-time and is close to potentially major FibonacciContinue reading “Rendezvous of Price and Time – December 2025”

S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025

 The 11/23/25 blog “Is History Repeating?” noted. “Corrections of the main trend are usually choppy, and that’s what’s happened so far in the November drop.  The move down looks like an Elliott wave – Double Zigzag correction”. The 30-minute S&P 500 (SPX) chart from that blog is shown below. The 11/23/25 blog also noted. “IntradayContinue reading “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025”

Lonely New High of the New York Stock Exchange Composite

The NYSE Composite (NYA) is a stock market index covering all common stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange, including American depositary receipts, real estate investment trusts, tracking stocks, and foreign listings. On 12/05/25 NYA did something amazing, it made a new all-time high unconfirmed by the following indices.  S&P 500, Dow Jones IndustrialContinue reading “Lonely New High of the New York Stock Exchange Composite”

Price Divergence Between Bitcoin and S&P 500

The 11/16/25 blog “Using Bitcoin to Time a U.S. Stock Market Peak” examined the time dimension relationship between Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and U.S. stocks.  Evidence indicated that U.S. stocks could be forming a significant peak. A focus on the price dimension relationship between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 (SPX) comes to the same conclusion – U.SContinue reading “Price Divergence Between Bitcoin and S&P 500”

December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?

The 11/23/25 blog “Is History Repeating” illustrated the similarities between the S&P 500 (SPX) decline in November 2021 and November 2025 and noted.  “Intraday momentum supports the bullish scenario.  The 30 – minute RSI has several bullish divergences implying that the selling is exhausted.  There’s a good chance SPX could rally in the next fewContinue reading “December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?”

Is History Repeating?

Comparing November 2021 with November 2025 This website’s prior blog examined S&P 500 (SPX) November seasonal patterns.  November 2025 – SPX decline is like what happened in November 2021.  A repeat of that prior drop could happen in late 2025. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened late 2021 to earlyContinue reading “Is History Repeating?”

Sixteen – Year Analysis of the S&P 500

The 10/18/25 blog “Fifty – Year Analysis of the S&P 500” examined the two S&P 500 (SPX) secular bull markets that spanned fifty years.  Fibonacci price and time ratios between the two bull markets imply a major peak that could be made in 2025.   A look at the at the SPX rise since 2009 revealsContinue reading “Sixteen – Year Analysis of the S&P 500”