Category Archives: Momentum

U.S Stock Market Momentum Update – 08/21/25

Internal momentum for the U.S. stock market continues to have bearish signals. The six – month NYSE 52 – week high chart courtesy of Barchart.com illustrates a near – term bearish divergence. On 08/13/25 the NYSE new highs moved marginally above the reading made on 07/03/25. However, on 08/19/25 when the Dow Jones Industrial AverageContinue reading “U.S Stock Market Momentum Update – 08/21/25”

Possible Major U.S. Stock Market Peak – 08/19/25

The 08/17/25 blog “Lunar Time Cycle in 1987 and 2025” noted a major U.S. stock peak could come in the time zone of 08/21/25 to 08/26/25.  This is still possible; however, there’s also a larger seasonal pattern of a potential major peak any day in August.  Today 08/19/25 could be that day. Since March ofContinue reading “Possible Major U.S. Stock Market Peak – 08/19/25”

Bearish Divergences Invalidated – 08/12/25

On 08/12/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) reached new all-time highs. This invalidates the bearish divergence made on 08/08/25 when IXIC made a new high unconfirmed by the SPX. Additionally, the VIX made a new post 04/07/25 low.  This invalidates the higher VIX bottom made on 08/08/25. The daily SPX, IXIC, andContinue reading “Bearish Divergences Invalidated – 08/12/25”

The Ultimate Bearish Divergence?

There are several ways a stock index could have bearish momentum signals.  Momentum oscillators such as Stochastic or RSI can be used to identify a coming down trend   Components of a stock index can also be used to discover potential trend changes.   Advance/decline lines of stocks within the index as well as stocks makingContinue reading “The Ultimate Bearish Divergence?”

Sentiment and Momentum Update – 08/01/25

NYSE – 52 – week highs and the VIX give bearish signals for the U.S. stock market. The VIX is very effective identifying S&P 500 (SPX) bottoms.  VIX spikes up at or near the completion of an SPX decline.  The situation is different when the SPX is reaching an important peak.  VIX signals a potentialContinue reading “Sentiment and Momentum Update – 08/01/25”

Trendline and RSI Analysis – S&P 500 – 07/25/25

Examination of three-time scales reveals interesting clues for the S&P 500 (SPX). The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long-term view. Last week the SPX went marginally above the long-term rising trendline connecting the January 2022 and February 2025 peaks.  This movement corresponded with a significant weekly RSI bearish divergence.  The combinationContinue reading “Trendline and RSI Analysis – S&P 500 – 07/25/25”

Bullish VIX Signal – 07/23/25

The 07/18/25 blog “U.S. Stock Bulls on Thin Ice – 07/18/25” noted that the VIX made a higher daily low vs. the S&P 500 (SPX) new all-time high – a bearish factor.  Also noted an additional bearish factor would be only one of the three main U.S. stock indices, SPX, Dow Jones Industrial Average, andContinue reading “Bullish VIX Signal – 07/23/25”

U.S Stock Bulls on Thin Ice – 07/18/25

Momentum and sentiment signals on 07/18/25 imply U.S. stock market bulls could soon be experiencing pain. The daily NYSE – 52 – week highs chart courtesy of Barchart.com updates internal U.S stock market momentum. On 07/03/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) made a new all-time high.  At the same time NYSE – 52 – week highsContinue reading “U.S Stock Bulls on Thin Ice – 07/18/25”

Pushing Towards the Trendline?

The S&P 500 (SPX) all-time high on 07/15/25 invalidated the potential Lunar signal made at the 07/10/25 Full Moon.  The rising long – term SPX trendline could still be an important resistance area. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. If in the next few trading days, the SPX reaches aContinue reading “Pushing Towards the Trendline?”