The 08/08/26 blog “Watching for a Single Top – August 2026” noted. “Since January 2000 almost all the major U.S. stock market peaks have occurred with only one of the three main U.S. stock indices making an all-time high. The three main indices are S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), and Nasdaq CompositeContinue reading “Watching for a Single Top – Part- Two”
Category Archives: Momentum
Record of Diminishing Fear- Part -Two
The 06/08/26 blog “Record of Diminishing Fear” illustrated that since 2020 – S&P 500 (SPX) bear moves have gotten progressively smaller. This amazing phenomenon has continued as shown in the monthly SPX chart courtesy of Trading view. In early June 2026 it looked like the April 2026 decline of only 9.8% was the smallest possibleContinue reading “Record of Diminishing Fear- Part -Two”
Watching for a Single Top – August 2026
Since January 2000 almost all the major U.S. stock market peaks have occurred with only one of the three main U.S. stock indices making an all-time high. The three main indices are S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC). The only exception occurred at the February 2020 peak when bothContinue reading ” Watching for a Single Top – August 2026″
Rising U.S. Interest Rates – August 2026
A multi-month rally in U.S. interest rates may have begun. The 05/16/26 blog “Long – Term Yields Near Major Double Top” noted that U.S. Treasury 30- year bond yields (TYX) were close to moving above a double top at 5.15 made in October 2023 and May 2025. On 05/19/26 TYX broke above 5.15, reaching 5.20. Continue reading “Rising U.S. Interest Rates – August 2026”
Buying the Dips
Late in the 07/29/26 trading session U.S. stocks had a sharp and deep decline. On 07/30/26 bulls relentlessly pushed stock indices higher. Early in the 07/31/26 main session stocks peaked then had another sharp drop. It looked like the bears had taken control, yet before the first hour of the session was complete bulls beganContinue reading “Buying the Dips”
The New Leader for U.S. Stocks?
In recent weeks Financial stocks have been the most bullish U.S. stock market sector. This rally could be the last gasp of a dying bull market. The daily charts of State Street – Financial Sector (XLF) and State Street – Technology Sector (XLK) courtesy of Trading View illustrate their relationship. Technologies have been the trueContinue reading “The New Leader for U.S. Stocks?”
Conflicting Momentum Indicators – July 2026
As we enter mid – July 2026 two U.S. stock market momentum indicators are giving conflicting messages. First a look at the Advance/Decline (A/D) line which has a long history of forecasting significant U.S. stock market turns. The A/D line peaks prior to stock index ultimate peaks, creating a bearish divergence. At significant bottoms theContinue reading “Conflicting Momentum Indicators – July 2026”
Weak Trendline Breakthrough – 07/10/26
The prior blog “Prelude to New Highs? – July 2026” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) since 06/02/26 may have formed an Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle. As of 07/09/26 SPX was at the edge of a declining trendline from the 06/15/26 peak. The break above this trendline on 07/10/26 should have triggered a powerfulContinue reading “Weak Trendline Breakthrough – 07/10/26”
The Lonely Dow Jones Industrial Average – July 2026
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) continues to be the only main U.S. stock indices making all-time highs. The daily chart of DJI, S&P 500 (SPX), and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) courtesy of Trading View updates the action of the three main U.S. stock indices. When only one of the three main U.S. stock indices isContinue reading “The Lonely Dow Jones Industrial Average – July 2026”
Elements of a Stock Market Mania
An examination of two stocks participating in the AI and technology mania reveals fascinating data. The first is Micron Technology Inc. (MU) which was last illustrated in the 05/30/26 blog “Micron Technology Inc. Upside Target”. The weekly MU chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. There are always alternate Elliott wave counts. The 05/30/26Continue reading “Elements of a Stock Market Mania”
