The SPX 500 (SPX) rally from 10/13/22 to 11/01/22 appears to have completed an extended Elliott wave impulse pattern. The 30 – minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action. The decline from the 11/01/22 top looks like a developing Zigzag correction. If so, it could complete near the 3,650 area which isContinue reading “S&P 500 – Short -Term Elliott Wave Forecast – 11/09/22“
Author Archives: Mark Rivest
Energy Stocks Lead the Way Up
The most bullish sector of the US stock market are the energy stocks. The SPDR Select Sector Fund – Energy Sector (XLE) is on the verge of making a new 2022 high. If this ETF continues to rally it could provide clues for a significant broader US stock market top. The 10/09/22 blog “The RelationshipContinue reading “Energy Stocks Lead the Way Up“
Follow the Leader
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) has retraced 50% of its 2022 bear move and is currently the most bullish of the three main US stock indices. The DJI action in the next few trading days could determine the direction of US stocks for the rest of 2022. No market indicator or system is effectiveContinue reading “Follow the Leader”
Bullish Evidence From the United Kingdom Stock Market
The prior blog “Bullish Evidence From the Mexican Stock Market” examined evidence from the main Mexican stock index – IPC Mexico (ME). The subject of this current blog is the United Kingdom main stock index – UK 100 (UKX). The daily UKX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates its action. The UKX like the MEContinue reading “Bullish Evidence From the United Kingdom Stock Market“
Bullish Evidence From the Mexican Stock Market
Traders/Investors could improve their chances of success by expanding the horizon of what they view. When it comes to trading national stock indices – take a global perspective. For example, if you trade one of the main US stock indices such as the S&P 500 (SPX), also watch what’s happening in other main national stockContinue reading “Bullish Evidence From the Mexican Stock Market“
The Most Bullish Month for Stocks – November
Sometimes successful investing/trading can be enhanced by simply looking at the calendar. Almost all markets have seasonal patterns, and for stocks, November has been the most bullish month. Does most bullish mean huge moves up in November? Not necessarily, while there are several instances of large November gains, sometimes the gains are small. As measuredContinue reading “The Most Bullish Month for Stocks – November“
Dow Jones Industrial Average Could Make a New High in 2023
The 2023 Stock Trader’s Almanac has been published. This annual book has a tremendous amount of statistical data about the US stock market. One of the sections in this year’s edition is titled “Why a 50% Gain in the Dow is Possible from its 2022 Low to its 2023 High”. The article details the actionsContinue reading “Dow Jones Industrial Average Could Make a New High in 2023 “
The Relationship Between Stocks and Bonds
Some traders/investors think that when stocks go up bonds go down, the reverse if stocks are going down. This is not always true. Sometime stocks trade inverse to bonds, sometimes they trade together. If on 10/24/22 US government treasury bonds made an intermediate bottom it’s rally could correspond with US stocks rising. The I-Shares 20Continue reading “The Relationship Between Stocks and Bonds“
Important Interest Rate Divergence
Additional Evidence that US interest rates may have hit an intermediate peak. The following chart is courtesy of Trading View. TYX – the Trading View symbol for 30 – year yields. TNX – the Trading View symbol for 10 – year yields. FVX – the Trading View symbol for 5- year yields. On 10/24/22 TYXContinue reading “Important Interest Rate Divergence”
Intermediate Top For Interest Rates?
Several clues from interest rates and bonds imply a trend reversal may have begun. The 10/19/22 blog “US Interest Rates Could be Near a Top” noted that the monthly CBOE 30 – year Treasury Bond Yield (TYX) was nearing a resistance zone. The TYX price action on 10/21/22 was dramatic and the first hint ofContinue reading “Intermediate Top For Interest Rates?“