The 12/15/24 blog “Gold Downside Forecast – December 2024” noted Gold Continuous Futures could reach 2,500 to 2,450 in late December 2024. Price subsequently declined, then rallied. Elliott wave analysis and the Ichimoku Cloud indicator provide clues to what may happen in the coming weeks. The daily Continuous Gold Futures (GC1!) courtesy of Trading ViewContinue reading “Gold Elliott Wave Count – 01/03/25”
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Long- Term S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Count – 01/01/25
There’s a high probability that the October 2022 to December 2024 – S&P 500 (SPX) bull market is a completed Elliott wave extended Impulse pattern. The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the long- term action. After the October 2022 bottom the SPX formed a series of “one’s and two’s” This pattern isContinue reading “Long- Term S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Count – 01/01/25”
U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note – Bearish Forecast
In March of 2020 the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note made a major top. The subsequent decline lasted more than three years. The rally from October 2023 to September 2024 has the characteristics of a bounce within a still developing secular bear market. The move down from the September 2024 peak could be the startContinue reading “U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note – Bearish Forecast”
U.S. Stocks Move Down – 12/27/24
This websites prior blog illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) had reached Fibonacci and overhead resistance and noted. “The wave “c” of a presumed Elliott Wave – Single Zigzag may have terminated on 12/26/24”. The 60-minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View shows what happened. All three of the main U.S stock indices had significantContinue reading “U.S. Stocks Move Down – 12/27/24”
Santa Claus Rally – 12/26/24
The 12/24/24 blog “Fascinating Elliott Wave Patterns – 12/24/24” noted. “The sharp rally on 12/20/24 could be the “a” wave of an Elliott wave – Single Zigzag. If so, there’s a good chance for the SPX to rally beyond its 12/19/24 high sometime on 12/23/24 or 12/24/24.” The wave “c” of a presumed Elliott WaveContinue reading “Santa Claus Rally – 12/26/24”
Fascinating Elliott Wave Patterns – 12/20/24
The S&P 500 (SPX) Elliott wave pattern suggest more downside action. The 30 – minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates its presumed Elliott wave count since its all-time high on 12/06/24. The SPX since 12/06/24 appears to be developing a series of “one’s” and “two’s” to the downside. This is a very bearishContinue reading “Fascinating Elliott Wave Patterns – 12/20/24”
U.S. Stocks Ready to Bounce?
This websites prior blog noted the S&P 500 (SPX) had ended the 12/18/24 main session near two support levels. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. The SPX on 12/19/24 failed to break below the upper line of the Ichimoku Cloud and chart support at 5.853.01. The 15 – minute SPXContinue reading “U.S. Stocks Ready to Bounce?”
Gold Downside Forecast – December 2024
Gold could make a bottom very late in 2024 or early 2025. The daily Gold Continuous Futures (GC1!) courtesy of Trading View illustrates its action since March 2024. On 10/31/24 Gold Futures peaked at 2,801.20, the subsequent 10 – trading day decline was a five – wave Elliott Impulse pattern. If so, this couldContinue reading “Gold Downside Forecast – December 2024”
U.S. Interest Rates Surge Higher
With anticipation of a U.S. FOMC short -term rate cut next week, longer – term U.S. rates are rising. The weekly CBOE 30- Year Treasury Bond Yield (TYX) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long-term Elliott wave count. From March 2020 to October 2023 TYX rallied in a clear five wave extended Impulse pattern. Continue reading “U.S. Interest Rates Surge Higher”
Tesla Revival
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) was lagging the broader U.S. stock market, now its emerging as a leader. This renewed strength could extend the rally in U.S. stocks. The main characteristic of the U.S. stock market in 2024 has been narrow leadership. While many stocks have failed to make new 52-week highs, a small minority, particularly theContinue reading ” Tesla Revival”