The 11/28/25 blog “December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?” noted that lunar cycles and momentum evidence implied the S&P 500 (SPX) could make an important top on 12/04/25. Elliott wave patterns and momentum hint that the SPX high on 12/05/25 may be the first peak in a developing multi month bear market. The dailyContinue reading “The First Bear Market Peak?”
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The Leading U.S. Stock Sector – Part – Three
The 10/25/25 blog “The Leading U.S. Stock Sector” noted that the PHLX Semiconductor index (SOX) had been a factor in the surge up of U.S. stocks. On 10/29/25 both SOX and the S&P 500 (SPX) made post April 2025 rally highs. In the subsequent decline SOX was weaker than SPX, declining 16% vs. SPX 5%Continue reading “The Leading U.S. Stock Sector – Part – Three”
Is History Repeating?
Comparing November 2021 with November 2025 This website’s prior blog examined S&P 500 (SPX) November seasonal patterns. November 2025 – SPX decline is like what happened in November 2021. A repeat of that prior drop could happen in late 2025. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened late 2021 to earlyContinue reading “Is History Repeating?”
S&P 500 – Alternate Elliott Wave Count – 11/14/25
The 11/13/25 blog “U.S. Stock Market at a Crossroad – November 2025” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) could be forming an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle. The sharp move down during the open of the 11/14/25 SPX trading session presents an alternate wave count. The SPX 30 – minute chart courtesy of TradingContinue reading “S&P 500 – Alternate Elliott Wave Count – 11/14/25”
Elliott Wave – Invalidation Points
Elliott wave theory is best known as a market forecasting tool. It’s also very effective in identifying points where a forecast is wrong. S&P 500 (SPX) recent action illustrates specific points where a forecast became invalid. The 10/26/25 blog “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Update – 10/24/25” Noted that if the SPX moved above 6,813.85Continue reading “Elliott Wave – Invalidation Points”
Bullish Pieces of an Elliott Wave Puzzle
The 10/26/25 blog “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Update – 10/24/25” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) may have completed an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle. The invalidation point for this pattern was SPX 6,813.85. The 30 – minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View shows what happened. On 10/27/25 SPX gapped above theContinue reading “Bullish Pieces of an Elliott Wave Puzzle”
S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Update – 10/24/25
The 10/23/25 blog “U.S. Stocks Crawling to New Highs?” illustrated the S&P 500 (SPX) could be forming an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle”. The hourly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates that potential wave count. The Ending Diagonal Triangle wave count from the 10/10/25 bottom is still valid. In any five-wave motive patternContinue reading “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Update – 10/24/25”
U.S. Stocks Crawling to New Highs?
The buying mania of U.S. stocks continues. The hourly S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates its progress since the 10/10/25 micro crash. The slow choppy nature of the rally has the appearance of an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle. These are terminal structures, if the count is correct the SPX couldContinue reading “U.S. Stocks Crawling to New Highs?”
Watch the Nasdaq Composite on 10/10/25
At the open of the main trading session on 10/09/25 both the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) and S&P 500 (SPX) made new all-time highs then quickly declined. The other main U.S. stock index, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) lagged below its all-time high made on 10/03/25. It’s possible that on 10/10/25 only the IXIC could reachContinue reading “Watch the Nasdaq Composite on 10/10/25”
Short – Term S&P 500 Elliott Wave Count – 09/26/25
The S&P 500 (SPX) decline from the 09/23/25 peak appears to be corrective. If so, the SPX could reach a new all-time high sometime next week. The 15 – minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the intraday action. There are always alternate wave counts in Elliott analysis. This chart shows the bullish interpretationContinue reading “Short – Term S&P 500 Elliott Wave Count – 09/26/25”
Four Dimension Trading 