Early January 2026 could be the cusp of a multi-month decline for U.S. stocks. The first bearish factor is potential Fibonacci resistance. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrated in this website 12/27/25 blog is reposted below. SPX 12/27/25 peak was 6,945.77 close to and within leeway of major Fibonacci resistance at 6,958.48. Continue reading “Three Bearish Factors – 01/01/26”
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Elliott Wave Analysis of U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yields – 12/19/25
Long- Term U.S. Treasury yields could soon be thrusting higher. The daily CBOE 30 – year Treasury Bond yield chart (TYX) courtesy of Trading View illustrates its action since July 2023. TYX soon could be completing an Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle underway since the October 2023 peak. These structures are net sideways corrective patternsContinue reading “Elliott Wave Analysis of U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yields – 12/19/25”
New York Stock Exchange Composite Clues – 12/19/25
The prior two blogs “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025” and “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025- Part – Two” speculated that the S&P 500 could make a short-term bottom sometime in late December 2025. Evidence from the NYSE Composite Index (NYA) supports the theory that U.S. stocks couldContinue reading “New York Stock Exchange Composite Clues – 12/19/25”
S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025- Part – Two
This website 12/14/25 blog forecasted that the S&P 500 (SPX) could be in a decline in late December 2025 to the 6,660 area. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. SPX has reached a Fibonacci .50 retracement of the November to December rally. Assuming Minute wave [c] of a presumed ElliottContinue reading “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025- Part – Two”
S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025
The 11/23/25 blog “Is History Repeating?” noted. “Corrections of the main trend are usually choppy, and that’s what’s happened so far in the November drop. The move down looks like an Elliott wave – Double Zigzag correction”. The 30-minute S&P 500 (SPX) chart from that blog is shown below. The 11/23/25 blog also noted. “IntradayContinue reading “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025”
The First Bear Market Peak?
The 11/28/25 blog “December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?” noted that lunar cycles and momentum evidence implied the S&P 500 (SPX) could make an important top on 12/04/25. Elliott wave patterns and momentum hint that the SPX high on 12/05/25 may be the first peak in a developing multi month bear market. The dailyContinue reading “The First Bear Market Peak?”
The Leading U.S. Stock Sector – Part – Three
The 10/25/25 blog “The Leading U.S. Stock Sector” noted that the PHLX Semiconductor index (SOX) had been a factor in the surge up of U.S. stocks. On 10/29/25 both SOX and the S&P 500 (SPX) made post April 2025 rally highs. In the subsequent decline SOX was weaker than SPX, declining 16% vs. SPX 5%Continue reading “The Leading U.S. Stock Sector – Part – Three”
Is History Repeating?
Comparing November 2021 with November 2025 This website’s prior blog examined S&P 500 (SPX) November seasonal patterns. November 2025 – SPX decline is like what happened in November 2021. A repeat of that prior drop could happen in late 2025. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened late 2021 to earlyContinue reading “Is History Repeating?”
S&P 500 – Alternate Elliott Wave Count – 11/14/25
The 11/13/25 blog “U.S. Stock Market at a Crossroad – November 2025” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) could be forming an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle. The sharp move down during the open of the 11/14/25 SPX trading session presents an alternate wave count. The SPX 30 – minute chart courtesy of TradingContinue reading “S&P 500 – Alternate Elliott Wave Count – 11/14/25”
Elliott Wave – Invalidation Points
Elliott wave theory is best known as a market forecasting tool. It’s also very effective in identifying points where a forecast is wrong. S&P 500 (SPX) recent action illustrates specific points where a forecast became invalid. The 10/26/25 blog “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Update – 10/24/25” Noted that if the SPX moved above 6,813.85Continue reading “Elliott Wave – Invalidation Points”
Four Dimension Trading 