After the 09/18/24 U.S – FOMC announcement U.S stocks rallied then reversed and the three main U.S stock indices ended the session near the lows of the day. It looked like a classic example of “buy the rumor sell the news”. On 09/19/24 U.S. stock bulls other plans. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) chartContinue reading “Buy the Rumor Buy the News”
Category Archives: Time
Dow Jones Industrial Average – Fibonacci Price and Time Relationships – August 2024
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) has reached potentially strong resistance at a very interesting time. Labor Day in the U.S. is almost like the start of a new year. Summer vacations end, most schools resume, and sometimes stocks market bears come out of hibernation. There have been two very significant U.S. stock market declinesContinue reading “Dow Jones Industrial Average – Fibonacci Price and Time Relationships – August 2024”
Prime Time for U.S. Stock Bears
Seasonally U.S. stocks can decline from May until October. Sometimes during persistent bull trends U.S. stocks could peak in late August or early September. Examples of this phenomenon occurred in September 1929, August 1987 and September 2000. A recent bearish momentum divergence could be signaling a sharp August to October 2024 stock decline. The dailyContinue reading ” Prime Time for U.S. Stock Bears”
Approaching Price and Time Zones – 08/16/24
On 08/16/24 the S&P 500 (SPX) came within 4.19 points of completing a presumed Inverse Expanding Flat correction. This pattern could be complete in the next three trading days. The one – hour SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action from the all-time high made on 07/16/24. The 08/15/24 blog “S&P 500 –Continue reading “Approaching Price and Time Zones – 08/16/24”
Super Bearish Message from Gold and Silver
The 07/21/214 blog “Bearish Message from Gold and Silver” noted considerable evidence that both precious metals could soon begin a multi-week decline. Since then, Gold (XAUUSD) has exceeded its mid – July 2024 peak, while Silver (XAGUSD) continues to lag on the upside. A severe downward shift for both metals could be imminent. The weeklyContinue reading “Super Bearish Message from Gold and Silver”
U.S. Stock Market Forecast – Late 2024
Long – term S&P 500 (SPX) price patterns could provide clues to the direction of U.S. stocks in the second half of 2024. The 07/20/24 blog “Examination of S&P 500 – July Tops” looked at seven examples of what happened with the SPX after significant July peaks. Two of the examples, post July 2011 andContinue reading “U.S. Stock Market Forecast – Late 2024”
U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield- Fibonacci Time and Price Analysis.
Long- and short-term Fibonacci time and price relationships imply an important U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield (TYX) bottom could be made late August/early September 2024. The weekly TYX chart courtesy of Trading View examines the long-term picture. One of the main aspects of Elliott wave analysis is that corrections of movements are usuallyContinue reading “U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield- Fibonacci Time and Price Analysis.”
Could August be an Awful Month for Stock Bulls?
Sometimes a market trend can change in as little as a 30 – minute bar. Longer – term changes can come on the cusp of a new year, or perhaps a new month. U.S. stocks started August 2024 with a vicious downturn. The daily S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of BigCharts.com shows the action sinceContinue reading “Could August be an Awful Month for Stock Bulls?”
Examination of S&P 500 – July Tops
Since 1998 there have been seven significant S&P 500 (SPX) tops. What happened after these peaks could be a guide for the near future. Each of the seven peaks subsequently had declines greater than 7%. They are as follows: 1998 – 07/20/98 to 10/08/98 – decline 22.50%. 1999 – 07/19/99 to 10/18/99 – decline 13.40%.Continue reading ” Examination of S&P 500 – July Tops”
Another Key Reversal Day
On the Summer Solstice 06/20/24 the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) had a key reversal day as it made an all-time high. That top did not hold and on 06/28/24 the IXIC made another all-time high key reversal, this time accompanied by the S&P 500 (SPX). The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the actionContinue reading “Another Key Reversal Day”
Four Dimension Trading 