U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield Update – 09/06/24

The 08/04/24 blog “U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield – Fibonacci Time and Price Analysis”  illustrated price and time targets for the U.S. 30 – year Treasury yield (TYX).  Weekly Fibonacci time analysis targeted the first week of September 2024 for a potential turn.  Daily Fibonacci time analysis targeted 08/30/24 for a possible turn date.Continue reading “U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield Update – 09/06/24”

Downside Rollover of the S&P 500 – September 2024

The 09/01/24 blog “Dow Jones Industrial Average – Fibonacci Price and Time Relationships- August 2024” noted that the Dow Jones Industrial Average could decline after Labor Day.  Immediately after Labor Day most U.S. stock indices began to fall. Momentum indicators imply this could be the beginning of a significant drop. The weekly S&P 500 (SPX)Continue reading “Downside Rollover of the S&P 500 – September 2024”

Gold Topping Process – 09/05/24

Gold in U.S. dollars could soon make a significant peak. The 08/25/24 blog “Gold Update – 08/23/24 noted. “If Gold can move above its current all-time high set on 08/20/24 the rally may not last very long or go very high.”  On 09/05/24 Gold in U.S. dollars (XAUUSD) appears to be poised to move aboveContinue reading “Gold Topping Process – 09/05/24”

Dow Jones Industrial Average – Fibonacci Price and Time Relationships – August 2024

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) has reached potentially strong resistance at a very interesting time. Labor Day in the U.S. is almost like the start of a new year.  Summer vacations end, most schools resume, and sometimes stocks market bears come out of hibernation. There have been two very significant U.S. stock market declinesContinue reading “Dow Jones Industrial Average – Fibonacci Price and Time Relationships – August 2024”

   Dow Jones Industrial Average – Trendlines

The 08/29/24 blog “Dow Jones Industrial Average – Long – Term Elliott Wave Count – 08/29/24” illustrated the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was approaching a rising trendline connecting the December 2022 and July 2024 peaks.   On 08/30/24 the DJI came closer to the trendline when it made another new all-time high.  There’s also aContinue reading ”   Dow Jones Industrial Average – Trendlines”

Dow Jones Industrial Average – Long – Term Elliott Wave Count – 08/29/24

On 08/29/24 the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) made another new all-time high unconfirmed by the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite.  The DJI may have also completed an Elliott wave – extended Impulse pattern from the October 2022 bottom. The daily DJI chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long – term Elliott waveContinue reading “Dow Jones Industrial Average – Long – Term Elliott Wave Count – 08/29/24”

Approaching Price and Time Zones – 08/16/24

On 08/16/24 the S&P 500 (SPX) came within 4.19 points of completing a presumed Inverse Expanding Flat correction.  This pattern could be complete in the next three trading days. The one – hour SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action from the all-time high made on 07/16/24. The 08/15/24 blog “S&P 500 –Continue reading “Approaching Price and Time Zones – 08/16/24”

Super Bearish Message from Gold and Silver

The 07/21/214 blog “Bearish Message from Gold and Silver” noted considerable evidence that both precious metals could soon begin a multi-week decline.  Since then, Gold (XAUUSD) has exceeded its mid – July 2024 peak, while Silver (XAGUSD) continues to lag on the upside.   A severe downward shift for both metals could be imminent. The weeklyContinue reading “Super Bearish Message from Gold and Silver”

Breaking Through the Ceiling – 08/14/24

The 08/10/24 blog “S&P 500 – Short – Term Resistance”  illustrated strong resistance in the S&P 500 (SPX) area of 5,390 to 5,397.  Also noted “A move above 5,400 could quickly propel the SPX up to the low 5,500 area”. On 08/13/24 the SPX did move above 5,400 and is now close to the nextContinue reading “Breaking Through the Ceiling – 08/14/24”

U.S. Stock Market Forecast – Late 2024

Long – term S&P 500 (SPX) price patterns could provide clues to the direction of U.S. stocks in the second half of 2024. The 07/20/24 blog “Examination of S&P 500 – July Tops” looked at seven examples of what happened with the SPX after significant July peaks.   Two of the examples, post July 2011 andContinue reading “U.S. Stock Market Forecast – Late 2024”