Category Archives: Price

U.S. Stocks Could Rally into 03/19/25

Short-term momentum and price evidence suggests stocks could rally into the U.S. – FOMC interest rate announcement on 03/19/25. The hourly S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the short-term action. On 03/13/25 SPX bottomed out just above round number support at 5,500. Hourly RSI and MACD had significant bullish divergences.  At theContinue reading “U.S. Stocks Could Rally into 03/19/25”

Watch For an S&P 500 – Death Cross – Part – Two

This site’s prior blog noted. “Anything can happen in the markets, and we are always testing our hypothesis. The first test comes in the week of 03/10/25 to 03/14/25.  If the SPX moves back below its 200 – day SMA and it’s 03/07/25 bottom, there’s a high probability of more downside action”.    The dailyContinue reading “Watch For an S&P 500 – Death Cross – Part – Two”

Watch for an S&P 500 – Death Cross – March 2025

 In the next few weeks, the S&P 500 (SPX) could have a Death Cross.  If so, this could be one of the most important signals for U.S. stocks in 2025. A Death Cross occurs when the 50 – day moving average of price moves below the 200 – day moving average of price.  The inverseContinue reading “Watch for an S&P 500 – Death Cross – March 2025”

What Could Cause a U.S. Economic Decline?

There are two ways to analyze markets and stocks, Fundamental and Technical. Technical analysis involves the study of price, and broadly the examination of momentum, sentiment and time.  Because markets and stocks discount the future, they usually move six to nine months before the fundamentals. Fundamental analysis for markets examines factors such as employment, inflation,Continue reading “What Could Cause a U.S. Economic Decline?”

Downside Breakthrough – 02/27/25

The 02/22/25 blog “Short-Term S&P 500 Downside Target” noted that a break below S&P 500 (SPX) 6,003.00 could open the door for a move down to the 5,700 area. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. The important support at 6,003.00 was broken and the SPX is in a steep decline.Continue reading “Downside Breakthrough – 02/27/25”

Tesla Inc. Could Soon Reach 215.00

On 02/07/24 Tesla Inc. (TSLA) broke decisively below important support.  This movement implies the start of a significant move down  to near 215.00 sometime in February or March 2025. The daily TSLA chart courtesy of Trading View shows the action since June 2024. The Volume Profile indicator is a  great forecasting tool to discover potentialContinue reading “Tesla Inc. Could Soon Reach 215.00”

Outlook for the S&P 500 in 2025

The 01/25/25 blog “Evidence of a Major U.S. Stock Market Top – 01/24/25” illustrated  that U.S. stocks could be on the verge of at least a multi-month bear market.  Assuming the hypothesis is correct, Volume Profile analysis could be helpful discovering potential support zones in a developing bear market. The Volume Profile method places volumeContinue reading “Outlook for the S&P 500 in 2025”

More Clues from the Dow Jones Industrial Average

An update of the three main U.S. stock indices. The 3 – hour Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates its performance. Throughout most of 2024 IXIC led the way higher.  Now in 2025 it’s the upside laggard or perhaps the downside leader.   At the close of the 02/06/25 session this Tech heavyContinue reading “More Clues from the Dow Jones Industrial Average”

A Super Rally for U.S. Interest Rates?

In the coming months U.S. Treasury yields/rates could have a dramatic rise. Most attention is on what action the U.S. – FOMC could take in 2025.  The FOMC controls the short-term interest rates, and they are expected to cut rates twice in 2025.  They have no control over long – term rates which have beenContinue reading “A Super Rally for U.S. Interest Rates?”