There are several ways a stock index could have bearish momentum signals. Momentum oscillators such as Stochastic or RSI can be used to identify a coming down trend Components of a stock index can also be used to discover potential trend changes. Advance/decline lines of stocks within the index as well as stocks makingContinue reading “The Ultimate Bearish Divergence?”
Category Archives: Momentum
Sentiment and Momentum Update – 08/01/25
NYSE – 52 – week highs and the VIX give bearish signals for the U.S. stock market. The VIX is very effective identifying S&P 500 (SPX) bottoms. VIX spikes up at or near the completion of an SPX decline. The situation is different when the SPX is reaching an important peak. VIX signals a potentialContinue reading “Sentiment and Momentum Update – 08/01/25”
Dual Peaks – 07/31/25
On 07/31/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) reached new all-time highs. This could be a bullish signal for U.S. stocks. A powerful indication of a major U.S stock market peak occurs when only one of the three main U.S stock indices, SPX, IXIC and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) makes a newContinue reading “Dual Peaks – 07/31/25”
Trendline and RSI Analysis – S&P 500 – 07/25/25
Examination of three-time scales reveals interesting clues for the S&P 500 (SPX). The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long-term view. Last week the SPX went marginally above the long-term rising trendline connecting the January 2022 and February 2025 peaks. This movement corresponded with a significant weekly RSI bearish divergence. The combinationContinue reading “Trendline and RSI Analysis – S&P 500 – 07/25/25”
Bullish VIX Signal – 07/23/25
The 07/18/25 blog “U.S. Stock Bulls on Thin Ice – 07/18/25” noted that the VIX made a higher daily low vs. the S&P 500 (SPX) new all-time high – a bearish factor. Also noted an additional bearish factor would be only one of the three main U.S. stock indices, SPX, Dow Jones Industrial Average, andContinue reading “Bullish VIX Signal – 07/23/25”
U.S Stock Bulls on Thin Ice – 07/18/25
Momentum and sentiment signals on 07/18/25 imply U.S. stock market bulls could soon be experiencing pain. The daily NYSE – 52 – week highs chart courtesy of Barchart.com updates internal U.S stock market momentum. On 07/03/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) made a new all-time high. At the same time NYSE – 52 – week highsContinue reading “U.S Stock Bulls on Thin Ice – 07/18/25”
Pushing Towards the Trendline?
The S&P 500 (SPX) all-time high on 07/15/25 invalidated the potential Lunar signal made at the 07/10/25 Full Moon. The rising long – term SPX trendline could still be an important resistance area. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. If in the next few trading days, the SPX reaches aContinue reading “Pushing Towards the Trendline?”
Bitcoin Lunar Signal – 07/11/25
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has a lunar signal like the S&P 500. The daily BTCUSD chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action. BTCUSD has hit a long – term rising trendline at the time of a Full Moon with an RSI bearish divergence. This combination of factors implies BTCUSD could be on the cusp of atContinue reading “Bitcoin Lunar Signal – 07/11/25”
Lunar Alert – 07/11/25
On 07/10/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) moved above the prior weekly high invalidating a bearish Strat combo. However, the new high occurred on a Full Moon with an important daily bearish momentum signal. The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the long view. The 07/04/25 blog “Pre Holiday Stock Rally – 07/03/25” illustratedContinue reading “Lunar Alert – 07/11/25”
Unusual Pre – Holiday Stock Trading – 07/03/25
When a major U.S. holiday occurs Monday through Friday the NYSE suspends trading for that day. Occasionally the day before or after the holiday could have a shortened trading day. The NYSE had shortened trading hours on 07/03/25 because Friday 07/04/25 was the U.S. Independence Day holiday. Shortened stock trading sessions usually have aContinue reading “Unusual Pre – Holiday Stock Trading – 07/03/25”
Four Dimension Trading 