Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has a lunar signal like the S&P 500. The daily BTCUSD chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action. BTCUSD has hit a long – term rising trendline at the time of a Full Moon with an RSI bearish divergence. This combination of factors implies BTCUSD could be on the cusp of atContinue reading “Bitcoin Lunar Signal – 07/11/25”
Category Archives: Momentum
Lunar Alert – 07/11/25
On 07/10/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) moved above the prior weekly high invalidating a bearish Strat combo. However, the new high occurred on a Full Moon with an important daily bearish momentum signal. The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the long view. The 07/04/25 blog “Pre Holiday Stock Rally – 07/03/25” illustratedContinue reading “Lunar Alert – 07/11/25”
Unusual Pre – Holiday Stock Trading – 07/03/25
When a major U.S. holiday occurs Monday through Friday the NYSE suspends trading for that day. Occasionally the day before or after the holiday could have a shortened trading day. The NYSE had shortened trading hours on 07/03/25 because Friday 07/04/25 was the U.S. Independence Day holiday. Shortened stock trading sessions usually have aContinue reading “Unusual Pre – Holiday Stock Trading – 07/03/25”
Pre-Holiday Stock Rally – 07/03/25
In a shortened pre – holiday session the S&P 500 (SPX) blasted up to new highs. Near – term U.S. stocks could climb higher. In the longer – term the post 04/07/25 stock rally is probably the termination phase of a secular bull market that began in March 2020. Prior blogs on this website illustratedContinue reading “Pre-Holiday Stock Rally – 07/03/25”
Momentum into the Final Countdown
U.S. stock market momentum indicators imply a peak could be forming. The daily S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of BigCharts.com examines external momentum. Momentum oscillators are like fuel gauges and can sometimes measure how far a market or a stock can move. The 06/23/25 blog “Reaction to Big News” noted. “BigCharts.com Slow Stochastic is veryContinue reading “Momentum into the Final Countdown”
Reaction to Big News
The U.S. attack on the Iranian nuclear facility was HUGE news. Presumably the escalation of violence in the middle east could trigger a large global stock decline. It did not. The S&P 500 (SPX) opened the 06/23/25 session above the 06/20/25 session close, then rallied for 50 – minutes. During the subsequent decline SPX wentContinue reading “Reaction to Big News”
Rounding Top for U.S. Stocks? – Part Two
This website 06/19/25 blog illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) had formed a rounding top – a prelude to a sharp decline. 06/20/25 was a quadruple witching day. This event occurs four times a year, specifically on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. These days, four types of financial derivatives expire simultaneously:Continue reading “Rounding Top for U.S. Stocks? – Part Two”
Rounding Top for U.S. Stocks?
The 06/15/25 blog “Termination Patterns Completed” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) probably completed an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle. Usually after completion of this pattern there’s a rapid change of direction. However, since the SPX 06/11/25 peak the tenacious bulls have kept prices in a sideways range. Could this be the prelude toContinue reading “Rounding Top for U.S. Stocks?”
Crude Oil Spike Up – 06/13/25
The Israel attacks on Iran triggered a seven percent move up in Crude Oil price. This surge could be the early part of a multi-month bull market. The monthly Crude Oil – Continuous contract (CL2!) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long-term view. A three-year Crude Oil bear market may have concluded at theContinue reading “Crude Oil Spike Up – 06/13/25”
Bearish Flip Day for U.S. Stocks
There’s a high probability that U.S stocks have flipped from a bullish to bearish trend on 06/11/25. The daily S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. On 06/11/25 the SPX made a new post 04/07/25 rally high, yet it ended the session below the close of the 06/10/25 session. Also, thereContinue reading “Bearish Flip Day for U.S. Stocks”
Four Dimension Trading 