Category Archives: Momentum

Trendline and RSI Analysis – S&P 500 – 07/25/25

Examination of three-time scales reveals interesting clues for the S&P 500 (SPX). The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long-term view. Last week the SPX went marginally above the long-term rising trendline connecting the January 2022 and February 2025 peaks.  This movement corresponded with a significant weekly RSI bearish divergence.  The combinationContinue reading “Trendline and RSI Analysis – S&P 500 – 07/25/25”

Bullish VIX Signal – 07/23/25

The 07/18/25 blog “U.S. Stock Bulls on Thin Ice – 07/18/25” noted that the VIX made a higher daily low vs. the S&P 500 (SPX) new all-time high – a bearish factor.  Also noted an additional bearish factor would be only one of the three main U.S. stock indices, SPX, Dow Jones Industrial Average, andContinue reading “Bullish VIX Signal – 07/23/25”

U.S Stock Bulls on Thin Ice – 07/18/25

Momentum and sentiment signals on 07/18/25 imply U.S. stock market bulls could soon be experiencing pain. The daily NYSE – 52 – week highs chart courtesy of Barchart.com updates internal U.S stock market momentum. On 07/03/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) made a new all-time high.  At the same time NYSE – 52 – week highsContinue reading “U.S Stock Bulls on Thin Ice – 07/18/25”

Pushing Towards the Trendline?

The S&P 500 (SPX) all-time high on 07/15/25 invalidated the potential Lunar signal made at the 07/10/25 Full Moon.  The rising long – term SPX trendline could still be an important resistance area. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. If in the next few trading days, the SPX reaches aContinue reading “Pushing Towards the Trendline?”

Bitcoin Lunar Signal – 07/11/25

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has a lunar signal like the S&P 500. The daily BTCUSD chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action. BTCUSD has hit a long – term rising trendline at the time of a Full Moon with an RSI bearish divergence.  This combination of factors implies BTCUSD could be on the cusp of atContinue reading “Bitcoin Lunar Signal – 07/11/25”

Lunar Alert – 07/11/25

On 07/10/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) moved above the prior weekly high invalidating a bearish Strat combo.   However, the new high occurred on a Full Moon with an important daily bearish momentum signal. The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the long view. The 07/04/25 blog “Pre Holiday Stock Rally – 07/03/25” illustratedContinue reading “Lunar Alert – 07/11/25”

Unusual Pre – Holiday Stock Trading – 07/03/25

When a major U.S. holiday occurs Monday through Friday the NYSE suspends trading for that day.  Occasionally the day before or after the holiday could have a shortened trading day.   The NYSE had shortened trading hours on 07/03/25 because Friday 07/04/25 was the U.S. Independence Day holiday.  Shortened stock trading sessions usually have aContinue reading “Unusual Pre – Holiday Stock Trading – 07/03/25”

Pre-Holiday Stock Rally – 07/03/25

In a shortened pre – holiday session the S&P 500 (SPX) blasted up to new highs.   Near – term U.S. stocks could climb higher.  In the longer – term the post 04/07/25 stock rally is probably the termination phase of a secular bull market that began in March 2020.  Prior blogs on this website illustratedContinue reading “Pre-Holiday Stock Rally – 07/03/25”

Momentum into the Final Countdown

U.S. stock market momentum indicators imply a peak could be forming. The daily S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of BigCharts.com examines external momentum. Momentum oscillators are like fuel gauges and can sometimes measure how far a market or a stock can move.  The 06/23/25 blog “Reaction to Big News” noted. “BigCharts.com Slow Stochastic is veryContinue reading “Momentum into the Final Countdown”