Category Archives: Momentum

What Could Cause a U.S. Economic Decline?

There are two ways to analyze markets and stocks, Fundamental and Technical. Technical analysis involves the study of price, and broadly the examination of momentum, sentiment and time.  Because markets and stocks discount the future, they usually move six to nine months before the fundamentals. Fundamental analysis for markets examines factors such as employment, inflation,Continue reading “What Could Cause a U.S. Economic Decline?”

Downside Breakthrough – 02/27/25

The 02/22/25 blog “Short-Term S&P 500 Downside Target” noted that a break below S&P 500 (SPX) 6,003.00 could open the door for a move down to the 5,700 area. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. The important support at 6,003.00 was broken and the SPX is in a steep decline.Continue reading “Downside Breakthrough – 02/27/25”

Bearish U.S. Stock Market Divergences – 02/14/25

The prior blog “Updated S&P 500 – Long -Term Elliott Wave Count -02/14/25”  noted that the S&P 500 (SPX) October to December 2022 rally – Intermediate wave (1) had a growth rate of 17.4%.  There’s usually a Fibonacci price relationship between the first and  fifth waves of motive patterns.    Assuming that the SPX 01/13/25Continue reading “Bearish U.S. Stock Market Divergences – 02/14/25”

     A Golden Triangle – Part – Two

The 01/12/25 blog “A Golden Triangle?” speculated that Gold was forming an Elliott Wave – Horizontal Triangle that could be the prelude to new highs. The daily Gold Futures Continuous Contract (GC1!) chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. It appears a Horizontal Triangle has completed, and Gold is in a post  triangle thrustContinue reading ”     A Golden Triangle – Part – Two”

A Super Rally for U.S. Interest Rates?

In the coming months U.S. Treasury yields/rates could have a dramatic rise. Most attention is on what action the U.S. – FOMC could take in 2025.  The FOMC controls the short-term interest rates, and they are expected to cut rates twice in 2025.  They have no control over long – term rates which have beenContinue reading “A Super Rally for U.S. Interest Rates?”

All – Time Highs Totally Rejected

On 01/31/25 both the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) and the S&P 500 (SPX) made runs to make new all -time highs.  They failed miserably. The DJI – two – hour chart courtesy of Trading View shows its action since its all-time high in early December 2024. In the first minute of the DJI tradingContinue reading “All – Time Highs Totally Rejected”

U.S. Stocks Testing All-Time Highs – 01/30/25

The hourly Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) and S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View shows their recent action. On 01/24/25 SPX made its all-time high unconfirmed by the DJI, and Nasdaq Composite – a potentially very bearish momentum signal.  Subsequently on 01/27/25 there was a micro crash in Tech stocks which the DJIContinue reading “U.S. Stocks Testing All-Time Highs – 01/30/25”

Nasdaq Composite Threads the Needle – 01/24/25

The 01/23/25 blog “Watch the Nasdaq Composite – 01/23/25” noted , “If on 01/24/25 IXIC exceeds 20,070.08 and stays below its all-time high of 20,204.50 an important secondary peak could be reached”. The hourly Nasdaq Composite chart -Trading View symbol (IXIC) shows what happened. IXIC exceeded the presumed Minor wave “A” of an Elliott waveContinue reading “Nasdaq Composite Threads the Needle – 01/24/25”

Evidence of a Major U.S. Stock Market Top – 01/24/25

Long-term momentum and sentiment readings for  U.S. stocks suggests a major peak is forming.  On 01/24/25 the  S&P 500 (SPX) continued its recent pattern of making a new all-time high unconfirmed by the other two main U.S. stock indices, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite.   This significant bearish divergence is just one factor inContinue reading “Evidence of a Major U.S. Stock Market Top – 01/24/25”