The U.S. stock market peaks in 2000, 2007, and 2022 occurred with only one of the three main U.S. stock indices making a new bull – market top. I call this phenomenon a “Rule of Majority” signal. The three main U.S. stock indices are the S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) and theContinue reading ” Rule of Majority Signal – December 2024″
Category Archives: Momentum
Gold Update – 12/06/24
The 11/16/24 blog “Gold Sentiment – November 2024” noted that Gold could make at least an intermediate bottom by late December 2024 or early January 2025. As of 12/06/24 it appears Gold could continue trending lower. The weekly Gold futures chart courtesy of Barchart.com updates Gold sentiment. The Commitment of Traders (COT) tracks the netContinue reading “Gold Update – 12/06/24”
Tesla Revival
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) was lagging the broader U.S. stock market, now its emerging as a leader. This renewed strength could extend the rally in U.S. stocks. The main characteristic of the U.S. stock market in 2024 has been narrow leadership. While many stocks have failed to make new 52-week highs, a small minority, particularly theContinue reading ” Tesla Revival”
Bitcoin Breakthrough – 12/05/24
Today 12/05/24 Bitcoin in U.S. dollars (BTCUSD) reached 100,000! The daily chart courtesy of Trading View shows the action. BTCUSD went as high as 104,000 before reaching a peak. This is on the far side of the leeway around 100,000. This factor plus what appears to be an incomplete Elliott wave pattern opens the doorContinue reading “Bitcoin Breakthrough – 12/05/24”
U.S. Stock Market Theme – 2024
The theme for U.S. stocks in 2024 has been, main stock indices make new highs with bearish momentum. The indices have only minor declines, then the bearish momentum divergences are erased. On 011/29/24 two of the main U.S. stock indices, S&P 500 (SPX) and Dow Jones Industrial Average made new all – time highs withContinue reading “U.S. Stock Market Theme – 2024”
Bitcoin 100,000!
On 11/22/24 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) reached 99,860 close to a major round number 100,000. Could this number represent significant resistance? An examination of BTCUSD history reveals some fascinating data. The monthly BTCUSD chart courtesy of Trading View shows the long-term view since its inception in December 2014. Each of the three important BTCUSD peaks came closeContinue reading “Bitcoin 100,000!”
Nvidia Corporation – Long -Term Elliott Wave Count 11/21/24
On 11/20/24 Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) released their third quarter of 2024 financial results. They beat revenue expectations by 5.96%. On 11/21/24 NVDA reached a new all-time high and ended the session up by .78% from the prior session closing price. The weekly NVDA chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long -term Elliott wave count.Continue reading “Nvidia Corporation – Long -Term Elliott Wave Count 11/21/24”
U.S. Long – Term Interest Rates at Important Level
Trading action in the next few days could determine the direction of U.S. long – term interest rates for several weeks. The daily CBOE 10 – year Treasury Yield (TNX) chart courtesy of Trading View shows its progress since mid – 2023. TNX has moved marginally above the declining trendline connecting the October 2023 andContinue reading “U.S. Long – Term Interest Rates at Important Level”
Gold – Elliott Wave Count – 11/14/24
Gold may have completed the first wave down of a multi-month decline. The daily Gold Futures Continuous contract courtesy of Trading View updates the action. The Gold bull market from the October 2022 bottom appears to have made a Primary degree peak on 10/31/24. October 2024 top had a double bearish RSI divergence, and theContinue reading “Gold – Elliott Wave Count – 11/14/24”
U.S. Stock Market Momentum and Sentiment – 11/08/24
The 10/13/24 blog “ U.S. Stock Market Momentum and Sentiment – 10/11/24” illustrated bearish evidence for both dimensions. One month later the situation for one of the dimensions dramatically changed. The NYSE 52 – week highs chart courtesy of Barchart.com shows internal momentum. In early October 2024 there was a double bearish divergence for NYSEContinue reading “U.S. Stock Market Momentum and Sentiment – 11/08/24”
Four Dimension Trading 