Category Archives: Momentum

 Five – Year Analysis of the S&P 500

Weekly S&P 500 (SPX) momentum oscillators point to an approaching bottom. The weekly SPX chart courtesy of StockCharts.com illustrates the action since 2021. The weekly Slow Stochastic has already gone below the level achieved at the April 2025 bottom and is the second most oversold reading in five – years.   A case could be madeContinue reading ” Five – Year Analysis of the S&P 500″

The Case for Higher U.S. Interest Rates – March 2026

The 03/14/26 blog “Update U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield – Elliott Wave Count – 03/13/26” illustrated that the U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield (TYX) had probably completed a multi- year Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle. The weekly TYX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. During the week of 03/16/26 to 03/20/26Continue reading “The Case for Higher U.S. Interest Rates – March 2026”

S&P 500 – Support Zone Reached – 03/20/26

The prior blog “Near the S&P 500 – 200 – Day Moving Average” noted, “Using the SPX – 200 – day SMA with daily RSI and potential Fibonacci support could identify at least a short- term bottom sometime in the next two weeks”. The support zone was 6,550 to 6,470.  On 03/20/26 the S&P 500Continue reading “S&P 500 – Support Zone Reached – 03/20/26”

Near the S&P 500 – 200 – Day Moving Average

In the next one or two trading days the S&P 500 (SPX) could touch or break the 200 – day Simple Moving Average (SMA) line. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action since November 2024. Please note that the last time the SPX was approaching the 200 – day SMA wasContinue reading “Near the S&P 500 – 200 – Day Moving Average”

 Long-Term View of Crude Oil – March 2026

Last week Crude Oil spiked up over 30%.  Long-term analysis puts this move in perspective.  The monthly continuous futures chart – Trading View symbol “CL2!” illustrates the action back to 2006.  During early 2022 price went 25% above the upper Bollinger Band.  Currently Crude Oil is only 9% above the upper Bollinger Band. In 2008Continue reading ” Long-Term View of Crude Oil – March 2026″

S&P 500 – Support Zone – March 2026

Since mid – December 2025 the S&P 500 (SPX) has been in a narrow choppy range, frustrating both bulls and bears.  If the bears can break through nearby support, it could drop SPX to a more significant support zone. The daily SPX chart courtesy of StockCharts.com illustrates three momentum oscillators. On 12/17/25, 03/03/26, and 03/06/26Continue reading “S&P 500 – Support Zone – March 2026”

   Gold Resistance Level – February 2026

Gold in U.S. dollars could soon make am important secondary peak. The daily spot Gold ($GOLD) chart courtesy of StockCharts.com illustrates the action since November 2025. Gold could soon reach a Fibonacci .618 retracement of its late January to early February crash.  If it reaches this potential resistance level it may correspond with Slow StochasticContinue reading ”   Gold Resistance Level – February 2026″

U.S. Stock Market – Advance/Decline Lines

The weight of evidence from all four dimensions of the U.S stock market is overwhelmingly bearish.  However, the NYSE – Advance/Decline line and the S&P 500 – Advance/Decline line continue to make new highs. The daily NYSE – Advance Decline line ($NYAD) courtesy of StockCharts.com is illustrated below. On 02/13/26 the NYSE Composite index failedContinue reading “U.S. Stock Market – Advance/Decline Lines”

Bearish Divergences – February 2026

The prior blog “Dow Industrials at 50,000!” noted that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) all-time high was confirmed by the Dow Jones Transportation Average, NYSE Composite index, S&P 500 – Advanced/Decline line and NYSE Advance/Decline line. Now a look at what’s not confirming the DJI all-time high.  Since the most recent bull trend beganContinue reading “Bearish Divergences – February 2026”