Mark Rivest

Bull and Bear Levels to Watch – 09/26/25

After the S&P 500 (SPX) bottom on 04/07/25 there were two mid – April declines of 6%. The subsequent rally has been persistent with only shallow drops. Could the SPX decline after the 09/23/25 peak be another shallow decline? There are two price levels to watch during the 09/29/25 to 10/03/25 trading week. The dailyContinue reading ” Bull and Bear Levels to Watch – 09/26/25″

U.S. Treasury Yields Trending Higher – September 2025

On 09/17/25 the U.S. – FOMC lowered short – term interest rates by 25 – basis points. A few minutes after the announcement the U.S. 30 year – Treasury yield (TYX) bottomed out and began rising. The weekly TYX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long – term picture. Since mid – 2023 -TYXContinue reading “U.S. Treasury Yields Trending Higher – September 2025”

S&P 500 Reaches 6,666!

The 09/13/25 blog “S&P 500 at 6,666?” noted the S&P 500 (SPX) hit 6,600 which was the bull’s eye of a Fibonacci price relationship with the SPX bull market in August 1987. Also noted was that the main U.S. stock indices rarely turn on round numbers. The SPX made a major bottom in March 2009Continue reading “S&P 500 Reaches 6,666!”

Bitcoin/S&P 500 – Journey 2022 to 2025

Since early 2022 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the S&P 500 (SPX) have roughly traded together. Perhaps the BTCUSD peak in August 2025 is heralding a bear market for both indices. The weekly BTCUSD and SPX chart illustrates their relationship since late 2021. On 11/10/21 BTCUSD made a significant peak. On 01/04/22 SPX made an important peakContinue reading “Bitcoin/S&P 500 – Journey 2022 to 2025”

S&P 500 at 6,666?

In March 2009 the S&P 500 (SPX) made a major bottom at 666. Perhaps there could be a major peak at 6,666? The 08/16/25 blog “Comparison of the S&P 500 in 1987 vs. 2025” illustrated that there could be a Fibonacci price relationship between the late stage of the SPX 1987 bull market with what’sContinue reading “S&P 500 at 6,666?”

U.S. Stock Rally into 09/17/25?

On 09/11/25 for the second time in two weeks all three main U.S. stock indices: S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite made new all-time highs. For at least the short-term this is a bullish signal. Another bullish signal is illustrated on the 30-minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View. The 09/06/25Continue reading ” U.S. Stock Rally into 09/17/25?”

The New King of all U.S. Stocks

Several weeks ago, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) was the most bullish of the “Magnificent Seven” stocks. Recently MSFT has turned bearish and appears to be headed lower. Meanwhile another Magnificent Seven stock has taken the upside lead. Can this stocks rally hold off a broader U.S. stock market decline? First a look at MSFT which wasContinue reading “The New King of all U.S. Stocks”

Reunion and Rejection

On 09/05/25 all three main U.S. stock indices: S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the Nasdaq Composite gapped up and made new all-time highs. A bullish signal. However, minutes after the session opening all three indices peaked and went into a vicious decline. SPX fell 88 – points in 90 – minutes andContinue reading “Reunion and Rejection”

Precise Time Cycle – August 2025

There are two ways to discover potential Fibonacci time cycles. Using Fibonacci sequence numbers to measure a market time segment. The Fibonacci sequence is as follows (1,1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, to infinity). This method was illustrated in the prior blog and examined several examples of the DowContinue reading “Precise Time Cycle – August 2025”

The Five-Year Phenomenon

Sometimes markets move in time segments related to the Fibonacci sequence. The U.S. stock market could currently be in a Fibonacci sequence time segment. Shortly after R.N Elliott discovered the wave theory now named after him he found that markets move in harmony with Fibonacci sequence numbers and ratios. The Fibonacci sequence is as follows. Continue reading “The Five-Year Phenomenon”