Mark Rivest

Sentiment and Momentum Update – 08/01/25

NYSE – 52 – week highs and the VIX give bearish signals for the U.S. stock market. The VIX is very effective identifying S&P 500 (SPX) bottoms. VIX spikes up at or near the completion of an SPX decline. The situation is different when the SPX is reaching an important peak. VIX signals a potentialContinue reading “Sentiment and Momentum Update – 08/01/25”

S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Update – 08/01/25

The 07/27/25 blog “Elliott Wave Pattern for the S&P 500 – April to July 2025” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) may made a Minor wave “3” peak on 07/25/25. Subsequent price action casts doubt on this presumed wave count. The two – hour SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the revised Elliott waveContinue reading “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Update – 08/01/25”

Dual Peaks – 07/31/25

On 07/31/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) reached new all-time highs. This could be a bullish signal for U.S. stocks. A powerful indication of a major U.S stock market peak occurs when only one of the three main U.S stock indices, SPX, IXIC and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) makes a newContinue reading “Dual Peaks – 07/31/25”

Elliott Wave Pattern for the S&P 500 – April to July 2025

Elliott wave analysis helps to identify market or stock price segments. The next step is determining the Elliott wave count within the segment. Examination of the S&P 500 (SPX) Elliott wave pattern since 04/07/25 gives clues as to when the where the segment could end. The two – hour SPX chart courtesy of Trading ViewContinue reading “Elliott Wave Pattern for the S&P 500 – April to July 2025”

Trendline and RSI Analysis – S&P 500 – 07/25/25

Examination of three-time scales reveals interesting clues for the S&P 500 (SPX). The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long-term view. Last week the SPX went marginally above the long-term rising trendline connecting the January 2022 and February 2025 peaks. This movement corresponded with a significant weekly RSI bearish divergence. The combinationContinue reading “Trendline and RSI Analysis – S&P 500 – 07/25/25”

Bullish VIX Signal – 07/23/25

The 07/18/25 blog “U.S. Stock Bulls on Thin Ice – 07/18/25” noted that the VIX made a higher daily low vs. the S&P 500 (SPX) new all-time high – a bearish factor. Also noted an additional bearish factor would be only one of the three main U.S. stock indices, SPX, Dow Jones Industrial Average, andContinue reading “Bullish VIX Signal – 07/23/25”

Falling Domino Setup – 07/18/25

The S&P 500 (SPX) is in a position where a series of sell orders could be triggered in rapid succession. The domino theory is the idea that if one thing falls, a lot more things will fall, too, like a line of dominoes. The 10 – minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates whereContinue reading “Falling Domino Setup – 07/18/25”

U.S Stock Bulls on Thin Ice – 07/18/25

Momentum and sentiment signals on 07/18/25 imply U.S. stock market bulls could soon be experiencing pain. The daily NYSE – 52 – week highs chart courtesy of Barchart.com updates internal U.S stock market momentum. On 07/03/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) made a new all-time high. At the same time NYSE – 52 – week highsContinue reading “U.S Stock Bulls on Thin Ice – 07/18/25”

Pushing Towards the Trendline?

The S&P 500 (SPX) all-time high on 07/15/25 invalidated the potential Lunar signal made at the 07/10/25 Full Moon. The rising long – term SPX trendline could still be an important resistance area. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. If in the next few trading days, the SPX reaches aContinue reading “Pushing Towards the Trendline?”

Bitcoin Lunar Signal – 07/11/25

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has a lunar signal like the S&P 500. The daily BTCUSD chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action. BTCUSD has hit a long – term rising trendline at the time of a Full Moon with an RSI bearish divergence. This combination of factors implies BTCUSD could be on the cusp of atContinue reading “Bitcoin Lunar Signal – 07/11/25”