Five – Year Elliott Impulse Wave

The S&P 500 (SPX) could soon be completing a five – year Elliott Impulse wave that began in March of 2020. The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long – term picture. The SPX could be completing a presumed Intermediate wave (5) up from the major bottom made in March 2020.   AContinue reading “Five – Year Elliott Impulse Wave”

Reaction to Big News

The U.S. attack on the Iranian nuclear facility was HUGE news.  Presumably the escalation of violence in the middle east could trigger a large global stock decline.  It did not.  The S&P 500 (SPX) opened the 06/23/25 session above the 06/20/25 session close, then rallied for 50 – minutes.  During the subsequent decline SPX wentContinue reading “Reaction to Big News”

Termination Patterns Completed

All three of the main U.S. stock indices; S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) have completed upside Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangles (EDT).  There’s a high probability these indices could soon reach the bottoms made on 05/23/25. The one – hour SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updatesContinue reading “Termination Patterns Completed”

Crude Oil Spike Up – 06/13/25

The Israel attacks on Iran triggered a seven percent move up in Crude Oil price.  This surge could be the early part of a multi-month bull market. The monthly Crude Oil – Continuous contract (CL2!) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long-term view.  A three-year Crude Oil bear market may have concluded at theContinue reading “Crude Oil Spike Up – 06/13/25”

Important Support and Resistance Levels for U.S. Stocks

Elliott wave patterns for the S&P 500 (SPX) reveal important points to watch on 06/09/25. After the 04/07/25 U.S. stock market bottom the Nasdaq 100 (NDQ) was leading the way higher.  In mid – May – NDQ had a subtle sign of weakness.  On 05/16/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) made a new rally high thatContinue reading “Important Support and Resistance Levels for U.S. Stocks”

Short-Term Bullish and Bearish S&P 500 Scenarios – 05/31/25

Elliott wave analysis reveals two courses the S&P 500 (SPX) could take in the coming days. First an update on the SPX action that was illustrated in the 05/29/25 blog. The 15 – minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View shows what happened. On 05/29/25 the SPX broke below its prior day bottom.  Normally aContinue reading “Short-Term Bullish and Bearish S&P 500 Scenarios – 05/31/25”

Stock Market Bulls Stike Back – 05/29/25

This website’s 05/25/25 blog illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) had a potentially bearish Elliott wave count.  As it turns out the SPX – 200 – day Simple Moving Average (SMA) line support held. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened. Most of the time a market or stock will trendContinue reading “Stock Market Bulls Stike Back – 05/29/25”

Potentially Very Bearish Elliott Wave Count – 05/23/25

A very sharp S&P 500 (SPX) decline could occur during the week of 05/27/25 to 05/30/25. The SPX 30 – minute chart courtesy of Trading View zooms in on the intraday Elliott wave count. It’s possible that the SPX move down from the 05/19/25 peak is an Elliott wave series of “one’s” and “two’s” down. Continue reading “Potentially Very Bearish Elliott Wave Count – 05/23/25”

U.S. Long -Term Treasury Yield Hit a High Point

On 05/22/25 the CBOE 30 – Year Treasury Bond Yield (TYX) hit 5.15 the high of a multi – year bull move made on 10/23/23. The daily TYX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the most likely Ellott wave count. The 05/17/25 blog “Detailed Elliott Wave Count for U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield -05/16/25”Continue reading “U.S. Long -Term Treasury Yield Hit a High Point”

Bullish and Bearish S&P 500 Scenarios – 05/16/25

Elliott wave analysis reveals two courses the S&P 500 (SPX) could take in the coming weeks. On a bar chart the SPX rally after 04/07/25 has several Elliott wave interpretations.  Using line charts sometimes clarifies the Elliott picture.   In this case it reveals two possible scenarios. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustratesContinue reading “Bullish and Bearish S&P 500 Scenarios – 05/16/25”