Today the Dow Jones Industrial Average made a new all-time high unconfirmed by the other two main US stock indices, S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq Composite. I call this a rule of the majority signal and could indicate a significant US stock market top. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates a possibleContinue reading “Stock Topping Process 03-29-21”
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Major US Stock Market Top on 03-29-21?
This is extremely exciting, the final piece of an Elliott wave pattern that began in March 2009 could be nearing completion. The daily S&P 500 chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the Elliott wave count since the beginning of 2021. So far, the presumed Minor wave “4“bottom discussed in my prior blog has held. There’sContinue reading “Major US Stock Market Top on 03-29-21?”
Probable Short-Term US Stock Market Bottom 03-25-21
Today 03/25/21 the S&P 500 (SPX) bottomed at 3853.50. My 03/23/21 blog “Crash Bottom Anniversary Day” speculated that Minor wave “4’” of an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle could be developing. Today’s low was in the middle of the target zone illustrated on the SPX 03/23/21 chart and close to a Fibonacci .50 retraceContinue reading “Probable Short-Term US Stock Market Bottom 03-25-21”
Crash Bottom Anniversary Day
The prior blog noted that 03/23/21 was the one solar year anniversary date of the crash bottom made on 03/23/20. It was possible that a new S&P 500 (SPX) high could be made on 03/23/21 plus/minus two trading days. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened. On 03/22/21 the SPX movedContinue reading “Crash Bottom Anniversary Day”
Stock Topping Process – Part Three
On 03/18/21 the Dow Jones Industrial Average made a new all-time high unconfirmed by the other two main US stock indices, S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq Composite (IXIC). I refer to this as a “rule of the majority signal” the market condition is revealed by the non-confirming indices. In this case a bearish signal. Additionally,Continue reading “Stock Topping Process – Part Three”
Stock Topping Process Continues
My prior blog “Potential Lunar Cycle Turn” noted that the US stock market could top within plus or minus two trading days of the new moon made on Saturday 03/13/21. Today the S&P 500 (SPX) made a new all-time high unconfirmed by the other two main US stock indices (Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) andContinue reading “Stock Topping Process Continues”
Revised S&P – 500 Elliott Wave Count – Part Two
On the 03/12/21 open of the S&P – 500 (SPX) trading session traders exited a 25% short position. The trade began on the SPX open 01/07/21 at 3764.71, the exit price was 3924.52 resulting in a loss of 4.20% of the 25% position. This contributes a 1.05% loss (4.20 x.25 = 1.05) to the runningContinue reading “Revised S&P – 500 Elliott Wave Count – Part Two”
Revised S&P – 500 Daily Elliott Wave Count 03/11/21
Today 03/11/21 the S&P – 500 (SPX) made a new all-time high which changes the Elliott wave count that had a possible Primary wave “5” completed as of the SPX 02/16/21 high. The daily chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the revised Elliott wave count. More details about this count and the intra day ElliottContinue reading “Revised S&P – 500 Daily Elliott Wave Count 03/11/21”
Nasdaq 100 Intraday Chart
Elliott wave theory shows progress of the mass mind and can be charted on any time scale. A chart spanning decades can have the same basic form as a chart limited to a few hours. Frequently intraday patterns can aid in clarifying a larger trend. The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) – 15 – minute chart courtesyContinue reading “Nasdaq 100 Intraday Chart”
Dow Jones Transportation Average – Update February 2021
My 01/30/21 blog “Dow Jones Transportation Average – Major Top?” speculated the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) may have completed a five wave Elliott impulse pattern from the March 2020 bottom. As it turned out the DJT finished a correction on 01/29/21. The daily DJT chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the subsequent upside action. Continue reading “Dow Jones Transportation Average – Update February 2021”