U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield – Elliott Wave Count – 02/13/26

An Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle correction that began in October 2023 may have concluded February 13, 2026. Elliott Wave – Horizontal Triangles are net sideways corrections that are composed of five sub- waves.  Each sub – wave further divides into three waves or a combination of three waves.  Horizontal Triangles only appear in theContinue reading “U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield – Elliott Wave Count – 02/13/26”

Dow Industrials at 50,000!

February 6, 2026, was a historic day the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) made a new all-time and reached 50,000.  What could also be historic is a potential Elliott wave pattern and possible Fibonacci resistance level. First an update on internal U.S. stock market momentum.  The prior blog “February Downside Rollover – 02/05/26” noted thatContinue reading “Dow Industrials at 50,000!”

Colossal Ending Diagonal Triangle? – 01/30/26

During the last few months, the S&P 500 (SPX) upper part of the post April 2025 rally appeared to be forming an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle (EDT).  What’s happened during the most recent trading days hints that the entire rally since 04/07/25 could be a colossal Ending Diagonal Triangle.  The daily SPX chartContinue reading “Colossal Ending Diagonal Triangle? – 01/30/26”

Ending Diagonal Triangle – Part Two – 01/16/26

The 01/15/26 blog illustrated that S&P 500 (SPX) could be forming an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle from the 11/21/25 bottom.  This pattern is still valid and could be completed on 01/20/26. The SPX one – hour chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the development since 11/21/25. The 01/15/26 blog speculated the Ending DiagonalContinue reading “Ending Diagonal Triangle – Part Two – 01/16/26”

Ending Diagonal Triangle Update – 01/15/26

The 01/08/26 blog “Upside Target Reached – 01/08/26” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) could be forming an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle.  This pattern is still the highest probable wave count, however with a change of the internal wave structure.    The SPX one-hour courtesy of Trading View illustrates the updated wave count.Continue reading “Ending Diagonal Triangle Update – 01/15/26”

Upside Target Reached – 01/08/26

Several of this website’s blogs have noted the S&P 500 (SPX) had potentially significant Fibonacci resistance at 6,958.48.  On 01/07/26 SPX peaked at 6,965.69. The 30- minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. The presumed Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle from the 11/21/25 bottom could be complete.  The 30 – minuteContinue reading “Upside Target Reached – 01/08/26”

Intraday S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Count – 01/02/26

There are always alternate Elliott wave counts. One S&P 500 (SPX) path points to potentially important resistance. The 30-minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View shows a possible Elliott wave count.  The SPX 12/26/25 to 01/02/26 decline has two Elliott wave interpretations.  The entire drop could be a correction of the prior uptrend.  Specifically, anContinue reading “Intraday S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Count – 01/02/26”

Three Bearish Factors – 01/01/26

Early January 2026 could be the cusp of a multi-month decline for U.S. stocks. The first bearish factor is potential Fibonacci resistance.  The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrated in this website 12/27/25 blog is reposted below. SPX 12/27/25 peak was 6,945.77 close to and within leeway of major Fibonacci resistance at 6,958.48.  Continue reading “Three Bearish Factors – 01/01/26”

Elliott Wave Analysis of U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yields – 12/19/25

Long- Term U.S. Treasury yields could soon be thrusting higher. The daily CBOE 30 – year Treasury Bond yield chart (TYX) courtesy of Trading View illustrates its action since July 2023.  TYX soon could be completing an Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle underway since the October 2023 peak.  These structures are net sideways corrective patternsContinue reading “Elliott Wave Analysis of U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yields – 12/19/25”

New York Stock Exchange Composite Clues – 12/19/25

The prior two blogs “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025” and “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025- Part – Two” speculated that the S&P 500 could make a short-term bottom sometime in late December 2025.   Evidence from the NYSE Composite Index (NYA) supports the theory that U.S. stocks couldContinue reading “New York Stock Exchange Composite Clues – 12/19/25”