The 10/25/25 blog “The Leading U.S. Stock Sector” noted that the PHLX Semiconductor index (SOX) had been a factor in the surge up of U.S. stocks. Recent action implies this leading sector is still bullish. The weekly SOX chart courtesy of Trading View shows what’s happened. The 10/25/25 blog noted. “Weekly RSI continues toContinue reading “The Leading U.S. Stock Sector – Part – Two”
Category Archives: Time
Sixteen – Year Analysis of the S&P 500
The 10/18/25 blog “Fifty – Year Analysis of the S&P 500” examined the two S&P 500 (SPX) secular bull markets that spanned fifty years. Fibonacci price and time ratios between the two bull markets imply a major peak that could be made in 2025. A look at the at the SPX rise since 2009 revealsContinue reading “Sixteen – Year Analysis of the S&P 500”
Fifty – Year Analysis of the S&P 500
Very long-term Fibonacci price and time ratios imply S&P 500 (SPX) could make a significant peak sometime in 2025. Because of the fractal nature of markets Fibonacci price and time analysis can be made on any time scale, from minutes to centuries. The yearly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View examines two bull markets thatContinue reading “Fifty – Year Analysis of the S&P 500”
Lunar Cycles and Momentum – October 2025
The 10/06/25 blog “Lunar and Seasonal Time Cycles – October 2025” examined the Lunar cycle phenomenon of markets turning on Full or New Moons plus or minus two trading days. This cycle was effective on 10/11/07 – a New Moon and the peak of a five – year S&P 500 (SPX) bull market. The 10/06/25Continue reading “Lunar Cycles and Momentum – October 2025”
Lunar and Seasonal Time Cycles – October 2025
Seasonal patterns for U.S. stocks are bearish from mid – August to October and bullish from November to April. U.S. stocks have rallied through September which is statistically the most bearish month. With the bearish season nearly complete, does this mean several more months of rallying? It’s possible however the S&P 500 (SPX) has notContinue reading “Lunar and Seasonal Time Cycles – October 2025”
Bitcoin/S&P 500 – Journey 2022 to 2025
Since early 2022 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the S&P 500 (SPX) have roughly traded together. Perhaps the BTCUSD peak in August 2025 is heralding a bear market for both indices. The weekly BTCUSD and SPX chart illustrates their relationship since late 2021. On 11/10/21 BTCUSD made a significant peak. On 01/04/22 SPX made an important peakContinue reading “Bitcoin/S&P 500 – Journey 2022 to 2025”
S&P 500 at 6,666?
In March 2009 the S&P 500 (SPX) made a major bottom at 666. Perhaps there could be a major peak at 6,666? The 08/16/25 blog “Comparison of the S&P 500 in 1987 vs. 2025” illustrated that there could be a Fibonacci price relationship between the late stage of the SPX 1987 bull market with what’sContinue reading “S&P 500 at 6,666?”
U.S. Stock Rally into 09/17/25?
On 09/11/25 for the second time in two weeks all three main U.S. stock indices: S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite made new all-time highs. For at least the short-term this is a bullish signal. Another bullish signal is illustrated on the 30-minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View. The 09/06/25Continue reading ” U.S. Stock Rally into 09/17/25?”
Precise Time Cycle – August 2025
There are two ways to discover potential Fibonacci time cycles. Using Fibonacci sequence numbers to measure a market time segment. The Fibonacci sequence is as follows (1,1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, to infinity). This method was illustrated in the prior blog and examined several examples of the DowContinue reading “Precise Time Cycle – August 2025”
The Five-Year Phenomenon
Sometimes markets move in time segments related to the Fibonacci sequence. The U.S. stock market could currently be in a Fibonacci sequence time segment. Shortly after R.N Elliott discovered the wave theory now named after him he found that markets move in harmony with Fibonacci sequence numbers and ratios. The Fibonacci sequence is as follows. Continue reading “The Five-Year Phenomenon”
Four Dimension Trading 