Dow Jones Industrial Average – Trendlines

The 08/29/24 blog “Dow Jones Industrial Average – Long – Term Elliott Wave Count – 08/29/24” illustrated the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) was approaching a rising trendline connecting the December 2022 and July 2024 peaks.   On 08/30/24 the DJI came closer to the trendline when it made another new all-time high.  There’s also aContinue reading ”   Dow Jones Industrial Average – Trendlines”

Dow Jones Industrial Average – Long – Term Elliott Wave Count – 08/29/24

On 08/29/24 the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) made another new all-time high unconfirmed by the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite.  The DJI may have also completed an Elliott wave – extended Impulse pattern from the October 2022 bottom. The daily DJI chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long – term Elliott waveContinue reading “Dow Jones Industrial Average – Long – Term Elliott Wave Count – 08/29/24”

Approaching Price and Time Zones – 08/16/24

On 08/16/24 the S&P 500 (SPX) came within 4.19 points of completing a presumed Inverse Expanding Flat correction.  This pattern could be complete in the next three trading days. The one – hour SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action from the all-time high made on 07/16/24. The 08/15/24 blog “S&P 500 –Continue reading “Approaching Price and Time Zones – 08/16/24”

Super Bearish Message from Gold and Silver

The 07/21/214 blog “Bearish Message from Gold and Silver” noted considerable evidence that both precious metals could soon begin a multi-week decline.  Since then, Gold (XAUUSD) has exceeded its mid – July 2024 peak, while Silver (XAGUSD) continues to lag on the upside.   A severe downward shift for both metals could be imminent. The weeklyContinue reading “Super Bearish Message from Gold and Silver”

Breaking Through the Ceiling – 08/14/24

The 08/10/24 blog “S&P 500 – Short – Term Resistance”  illustrated strong resistance in the S&P 500 (SPX) area of 5,390 to 5,397.  Also noted “A move above 5,400 could quickly propel the SPX up to the low 5,500 area”. On 08/13/24 the SPX did move above 5,400 and is now close to the nextContinue reading “Breaking Through the Ceiling – 08/14/24”

U.S. Stock Market Forecast – Late 2024

Long – term S&P 500 (SPX) price patterns could provide clues to the direction of U.S. stocks in the second half of 2024. The 07/20/24 blog “Examination of S&P 500 – July Tops” looked at seven examples of what happened with the SPX after significant July peaks.   Two of the examples, post July 2011 andContinue reading “U.S. Stock Market Forecast – Late 2024”

S&P 500 – Short – Term Resistance – 08/09/24

Recent sentiment and momentum evidence suggest the S&P 500 (SPX) could rally into mid – September 2024.   Fibonacci analysis indicates an important barrier the bulls  need to overcome. First a look at short -term momentum.  The daily SPX  chart courtesy of BigCharts.com illustrates some interesting clues. The BigCharts.com Slow Stochastic is very effective in catchingContinue reading “S&P 500 – Short – Term Resistance – 08/09/24”

Support Areas for S&P 500 – August 2024

Volume Profile analysis indicates where the S&P 500 could find support during the month of August 2024. Volume Profile puts market volume on a vertical axis which illustrate where volume is relative to price.   The wider the volume bar the greater the potential support/resistance.   The widest volume bar is called “Point of Control” (POC). TheContinue reading “Support Areas for S&P 500 – August 2024”

U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield- Fibonacci Time and Price Analysis.

Long- and short-term Fibonacci time and price relationships imply an important U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield (TYX) bottom could be made late August/early September 2024. The weekly TYX chart courtesy of Trading View examines the long-term picture.                                                   One of the main aspects of Elliott wave analysis is that corrections of movements are usuallyContinue reading “U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield- Fibonacci Time and Price Analysis.”

Could August be an Awful Month for Stock Bulls?

Sometimes a market trend can change in as little as a 30 – minute bar.  Longer – term changes can come on the cusp of a new year, or perhaps a new month. U.S. stocks started August 2024 with a vicious downturn. The daily S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of BigCharts.com  shows the action sinceContinue reading “Could August be an Awful Month for Stock Bulls?”