Mark Rivest

Rendezvous of Price and Time – December 2025

The 12/18/25 blog “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025- Part – Two” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) could be forming an Elliott Wave – Horizontal Triangle. The subsequent rally above the SPX 12/11/25 peak has invalidated that wave count. SPX has reached an all-time and is close to potentially major FibonacciContinue reading “Rendezvous of Price and Time – December 2025”

Elliott Wave Analysis of U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yields – 12/19/25

Long- Term U.S. Treasury yields could soon be thrusting higher. The daily CBOE 30 – year Treasury Bond yield chart (TYX) courtesy of Trading View illustrates its action since July 2023. TYX soon could be completing an Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle underway since the October 2023 peak. These structures are net sideways corrective patternsContinue reading “Elliott Wave Analysis of U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yields – 12/19/25”

New York Stock Exchange Composite Clues – 12/19/25

The prior two blogs “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025” and “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025- Part – Two” speculated that the S&P 500 could make a short-term bottom sometime in late December 2025. Evidence from the NYSE Composite Index (NYA) supports the theory that U.S. stocks couldContinue reading “New York Stock Exchange Composite Clues – 12/19/25”

S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025- Part – Two

This website 12/14/25 blog forecasted that the S&P 500 (SPX) could be in a decline in late December 2025 to the 6,660 area. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. SPX has reached a Fibonacci .50 retracement of the November to December rally. Assuming Minute wave [c] of a presumed ElliottContinue reading “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025- Part – Two”

S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025

The 11/23/25 blog “Is History Repeating?” noted. “Corrections of the main trend are usually choppy, and that’s what’s happened so far in the November drop. The move down looks like an Elliott wave – Double Zigzag correction”. The 30-minute S&P 500 (SPX) chart from that blog is shown below. The 11/23/25 blog also noted. “IntradayContinue reading “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025”

Fascinating Year End Stock Market Turns

Occasionally markets can have significant turns on the cusp of a new year. Within the last ten – years the S&P 500 (SPX) has had trend changes near a new year. This phenomenon could be repeated in 2025/2026. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the most recent turn in early 2022.Continue reading “Fascinating Year End Stock Market Turns”

Watch the Calendar – December 2025

The S&P 500 (SPX) has moved above its 12/05/25 peak, invalidating a potential Lunar downturn signal. This opens the door for a rally into very late 2025 to very early 2026. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates its recent action. On 12/11/25 SPX ended its session at 6,901.01 and could soon exceedContinue reading “Watch the Calendar – December 2025”

Lonely New High of the New York Stock Exchange Composite

The NYSE Composite (NYA) is a stock market index covering all common stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange, including American depositary receipts, real estate investment trusts, tracking stocks, and foreign listings. On 12/05/25 NYA did something amazing, it made a new all-time high unconfirmed by the following indices. S&P 500, Dow Jones IndustrialContinue reading “Lonely New High of the New York Stock Exchange Composite”

The First Bear Market Peak?

The 11/28/25 blog “December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?” noted that lunar cycles and momentum evidence implied the S&P 500 (SPX) could make an important top on 12/04/25. Elliott wave patterns and momentum hint that the SPX high on 12/05/25 may be the first peak in a developing multi month bear market. The dailyContinue reading “The First Bear Market Peak?”

The Leading U.S. Stock Sector – Part – Three

The 10/25/25 blog “The Leading U.S. Stock Sector” noted that the PHLX Semiconductor index (SOX) had been a factor in the surge up of U.S. stocks. On 10/29/25 both SOX and the S&P 500 (SPX) made post April 2025 rally highs. In the subsequent decline SOX was weaker than SPX, declining 16% vs. SPX 5%Continue reading “The Leading U.S. Stock Sector – Part – Three”