Mark Rivest

Colossal Ending Diagonal Triangle? – 01/30/26

During the last few months, the S&P 500 (SPX) upper part of the post April 2025 rally appeared to be forming an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle (EDT). What’s happened during the most recent trading days hints that the entire rally since 04/07/25 could be a colossal Ending Diagonal Triangle. The daily SPX chartContinue reading “Colossal Ending Diagonal Triangle? – 01/30/26”

Welcome to Parabolic City

The 12/28/25 blog “Parabolic Silver – December 2025” noted. “If Silver continues to climb, could it move up 203% from the late October 2025 bottom? Siver closed the week of 12/26/25 at 79.32. If it can match the ten – week post November 1979 rally it would bring Silver to around 137.00 sometime in earlyContinue reading ” Welcome to Parabolic City”

Drop and Reversal

The action of stocks during the week of 01/18/26 to 01/24/26 was like what happened in April 2025. A drop on bearish tariff news then a rally on bullish tariff news. Intraday and daily price action give clues to what may occur next week. Trading View has a stock index – symbol (SPX500). This indexContinue reading “Drop and Reversal”

Dramatic Move Down – 01/20/26

There was a New Moon on 01/18/26. Sometimes markets can turn on New/Full Moons plus or minus two trading days. Usually, one of the main U.S. stock indices; S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite or Dow Jones Industrial Average register lunar turn signals. In this case the Russell 2000 – small cap index made a post AprilContinue reading “Dramatic Move Down – 01/20/26”

UK 100 – Momentum Clues

Long and short -term UK 100 – RSI readings could forecast the global stock market in 2026. Stock indices usually have maximum RSI readings at penultimate price peaks. When price reaches its ultimate top, most of the time RSI has a bearish divergence vs. the penultimate peak. The monthly UK 100 chart – listed inContinue reading “UK 100 – Momentum Clues”

Ending Diagonal Triangle – Part Two – 01/16/26

The 01/15/26 blog illustrated that S&P 500 (SPX) could be forming an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle from the 11/21/25 bottom. This pattern is still valid and could be completed on 01/20/26. The SPX one – hour chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the development since 11/21/25. The 01/15/26 blog speculated the Ending DiagonalContinue reading “Ending Diagonal Triangle – Part Two – 01/16/26”

Ending Diagonal Triangle Update – 01/15/26

The 01/08/26 blog “Upside Target Reached – 01/08/26” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) could be forming an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle. This pattern is still the highest probable wave count, however with a change of the internal wave structure. The SPX one-hour courtesy of Trading View illustrates the updated wave count.Continue reading “Ending Diagonal Triangle Update – 01/15/26”

Sentiment – U.S. Stock Market – January 2026

Market sentiment can be measured in two ways; bets made by traders such as Put and Call options, or by polling. Market Vane began polling market opinions in 1964. Their Bullish Consensus is the degree of bullish sentiment for a particular market. The Bullish Consensus is compiled by tracking the buy and sell recommendations ofContinue reading “Sentiment – U.S. Stock Market – January 2026”

Momentum for U.S. Stocks – 01/09/26

The release of the monthly U.S. Non-Farm Payroll report at 8:30 AM – EDT on 01/09/26 triggered a rally in U.S stock Futures. When the cash S&P 500 session began there was a five – minute rally followed by a 30 – minute decline. After that drop the S&P 500 rallied to a new all-timeContinue reading “Momentum for U.S. Stocks – 01/09/26”

Upside Target Reached – 01/08/26

Several of this website’s blogs have noted the S&P 500 (SPX) had potentially significant Fibonacci resistance at 6,958.48. On 01/07/26 SPX peaked at 6,965.69. The 30- minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. The presumed Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle from the 11/21/25 bottom could be complete. The 30 – minuteContinue reading “Upside Target Reached – 01/08/26”