Mark Rivest

New York Stock Exchange Composite Clues – 12/19/25

The prior two blogs “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025” and “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025- Part – Two” speculated that the S&P 500 could make a short-term bottom sometime in late December 2025. Evidence from the NYSE Composite Index (NYA) supports the theory that U.S. stocks couldContinue reading “New York Stock Exchange Composite Clues – 12/19/25”

S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025- Part – Two

This website 12/14/25 blog forecasted that the S&P 500 (SPX) could be in a decline in late December 2025 to the 6,660 area. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. SPX has reached a Fibonacci .50 retracement of the November to December rally. Assuming Minute wave [c] of a presumed ElliottContinue reading “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025- Part – Two”

S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025

The 11/23/25 blog “Is History Repeating?” noted. “Corrections of the main trend are usually choppy, and that’s what’s happened so far in the November drop. The move down looks like an Elliott wave – Double Zigzag correction”. The 30-minute S&P 500 (SPX) chart from that blog is shown below. The 11/23/25 blog also noted. “IntradayContinue reading “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025”

Fascinating Year End Stock Market Turns

Occasionally markets can have significant turns on the cusp of a new year. Within the last ten – years the S&P 500 (SPX) has had trend changes near a new year. This phenomenon could be repeated in 2025/2026. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the most recent turn in early 2022.Continue reading “Fascinating Year End Stock Market Turns”

Watch the Calendar – December 2025

The S&P 500 (SPX) has moved above its 12/05/25 peak, invalidating a potential Lunar downturn signal. This opens the door for a rally into very late 2025 to very early 2026. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates its recent action. On 12/11/25 SPX ended its session at 6,901.01 and could soon exceedContinue reading “Watch the Calendar – December 2025”

Lonely New High of the New York Stock Exchange Composite

The NYSE Composite (NYA) is a stock market index covering all common stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange, including American depositary receipts, real estate investment trusts, tracking stocks, and foreign listings. On 12/05/25 NYA did something amazing, it made a new all-time high unconfirmed by the following indices. S&P 500, Dow Jones IndustrialContinue reading “Lonely New High of the New York Stock Exchange Composite”

The First Bear Market Peak?

The 11/28/25 blog “December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?” noted that lunar cycles and momentum evidence implied the S&P 500 (SPX) could make an important top on 12/04/25. Elliott wave patterns and momentum hint that the SPX high on 12/05/25 may be the first peak in a developing multi month bear market. The dailyContinue reading “The First Bear Market Peak?”

The Leading U.S. Stock Sector – Part – Three

The 10/25/25 blog “The Leading U.S. Stock Sector” noted that the PHLX Semiconductor index (SOX) had been a factor in the surge up of U.S. stocks. On 10/29/25 both SOX and the S&P 500 (SPX) made post April 2025 rally highs. In the subsequent decline SOX was weaker than SPX, declining 16% vs. SPX 5%Continue reading “The Leading U.S. Stock Sector – Part – Three”

Price Divergence Between Bitcoin and S&P 500

The 11/16/25 blog “Using Bitcoin to Time a U.S. Stock Market Peak” examined the time dimension relationship between Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and U.S. stocks. Evidence indicated that U.S. stocks could be forming a significant peak. A focus on the price dimension relationship between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 (SPX) comes to the same conclusion – U.SContinue reading “Price Divergence Between Bitcoin and S&P 500”

December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?

The 11/23/25 blog “Is History Repeating” illustrated the similarities between the S&P 500 (SPX) decline in November 2021 and November 2025 and noted. “Intraday momentum supports the bullish scenario. The 30 – minute RSI has several bullish divergences implying that the selling is exhausted. There’s a good chance SPX could rally in the next fewContinue reading “December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?”