Transportation Average – Blow Off Top?

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJT) began the week of 04/20/26 to 04/24/26 above the upper weekly Bollinger band.  This is typically a sign of a market index or stock nearing upside exhaustion.  At the open of the 04/22/26 session DJT was still above the weekly Bollinger band.  What happened soon after the opening of the 04/22/26 session was dramatic.

The weekly DJT courtesy of Trading View shows the long-term action.

DJT ended the 04/22/26 session 8.4% below the prior day session close.  From the intraday high the decline was 12%!

This incredible drop triggered weekly Stochastic lines bear cross in the overbought zone.

Weekly RSI has a bearish divergence vs. the February 2026 peak.

There’s a clear five wave Elliott Impulse pattern since the April 2025 bottom.

There’s a high probability that the DJT has made a blow off top, if so, it could decline 40% from the high made on 04/22/26.

The 04/22/26 action is additional evidence that the broader U.S. stock market could be forming an important peak. 

Published by Mark Rivest

Independent investment advisor, trader, and writer. Articles have appeared on Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities , Traders.com Advantage, Futuresmag.com, and Finance Magnates.

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