Category Archives: Elliott Wave

The posts on this site have examined the history of US stocks over the period of two centuries down to the last few years.  Now it’s time to focus on the most recent actions, in particular the sharp decline in US stocks September 2 to 4, 2020.  The first daily S&P 500 (SPX) chart fromContinue reading “S&P 500 – Near Term Activity”

Within the time dimension there are several methods to determine market turn points.  Seasonality and periodic time cycles are two of the more common ways, however they lack precision.   Fibonacci time cycles, while unknown to many market analysts, can at times be incredibly accurate.  R.N Elliott discoverer of the Wave theory also found that marketsContinue reading “Forecast – Bull Market Termination Date – 2021”

Today, August 18, 2020 the S&P 500 (SPX) broke above its February 2020 top to make a new all-time high.  My April 1, 2020 Trading View SPX post speculated a new bull phase was underway that could continue until sometime in 2021.  Todays breakthrough is an important confirmation of the forecast.  Today’s new all-time highContinue reading “Long-Term Forecast to the Year – 2043”

There are always alternate Elliott Wave counts, my prior blog illustrated a count that assumes the bull market from March 2009 is complete.  This blog illustrates a count that assumes the S&P 500 (SPX) February 2020 top could be exceeded. This weekly SPX chart is an update to a chart that appeared in my AprilContinue reading “Eleven – Year View – Part 2”

When using Elliott Wave theory there are always alternate counts, sometimes there could be three or more alternate counts for the path of a market. Markets represent the mass mind, and like an individual mind can change direction. An analyst/trader must be prepared for alternative trading scenarios. The chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates aContinue reading “Eleven – Year View -Part 1”

Narrowing the focus from two hundred and thirty years to the last twenty, shows major bull  to bear phase transitions.  The S&P 500 (SPX) monthly chart, courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action from the late twentieth century bull market in US stocks to mid – 2020.  From an Elliott Wave perspective, the bull marketContinue reading “Twenty – Year View”

Welcome to the inauguration of Four Dimension Trading!  Many market analysts focus primarily on the dimension of price, the best approach is to examine the weight of evidence from all four dimensions, price, time, momentum, and sentiment.  No method is perfect, and traders need to know how to handle eventual losses.  This site will alsoContinue reading “The Big Picture”