Stock Market Clue from October 2002

What happened in the U.S. stock market during October 2002 could be an important clue for action in 2025. From October 1999 to early 2000 the U.S. stock market experienced the greatest buying mania since mid – 1929.  The leading stock index in the post October 1999 rally was the Nasdaq 100 (NDQ).  After theContinue reading “Stock Market Clue from October 2002”

Microsoft Update – 08/22/25

The 06/07/25 blog “The Strongest Magnificent Seven Stock” noted that at that time Microsoft (MSFT) was the only one of the “Magnificent Seven” stocks to make a new all-time high.  Since then, there have been other “Magnificent Seven” to make new all-time highs.  However, for the week ending 08/2/25 only Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) reached aContinue reading “Microsoft Update – 08/22/25”

Rally into a Lunar Cycle – 08/22/25

At 10:00 AM – EDT on 08/22/25 the text of FOMC chairman Powell was released.  The U.S. stock market immediately had a huge rally which could be the climax of the bull market that began on 04/07/25. Markets sometimes turn on New/Full Moons plus or minus two trading days.  There’s a New Moon on SaturdayContinue reading “Rally into a Lunar Cycle – 08/22/25”

Lunar Time Cycle in 1987 and 2025

The prior blog examined the seasonal similarities between the S&P 500 (SPX) in 1987 and 2025.  Now a look at lunar time cycles. The first daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened in 1987. The final phase of a five-year SPX secular bull market was from April to August 1987.  This movementContinue reading “Lunar Time Cycle in 1987 and 2025”

Time Cycles – August 2025

Three different time cycles indicate the U.S. stock market could be in a topping zone. There are various methods to measure market or stock time cycles.   Usually there’s broad leeway when using time cycles, precision is the exception not the rule. Most markets have seasonal trends which can vary in regularity.  For example, agricultural marketsContinue reading “Time Cycles – August 2025”

Trendline and RSI Analysis – S&P 500 – 07/25/25

Examination of three-time scales reveals interesting clues for the S&P 500 (SPX). The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long-term view. Last week the SPX went marginally above the long-term rising trendline connecting the January 2022 and February 2025 peaks.  This movement corresponded with a significant weekly RSI bearish divergence.  The combinationContinue reading “Trendline and RSI Analysis – S&P 500 – 07/25/25”

Bitcoin Lunar Signal – 07/11/25

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has a lunar signal like the S&P 500. The daily BTCUSD chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action. BTCUSD has hit a long – term rising trendline at the time of a Full Moon with an RSI bearish divergence.  This combination of factors implies BTCUSD could be on the cusp of atContinue reading “Bitcoin Lunar Signal – 07/11/25”

Lunar Alert – 07/11/25

On 07/10/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) moved above the prior weekly high invalidating a bearish Strat combo.   However, the new high occurred on a Full Moon with an important daily bearish momentum signal. The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the long view. The 07/04/25 blog “Pre Holiday Stock Rally – 07/03/25” illustratedContinue reading “Lunar Alert – 07/11/25”

Unusual Pre – Holiday Stock Trading – 07/03/25

When a major U.S. holiday occurs Monday through Friday the NYSE suspends trading for that day.  Occasionally the day before or after the holiday could have a shortened trading day.   The NYSE had shortened trading hours on 07/03/25 because Friday 07/04/25 was the U.S. Independence Day holiday.  Shortened stock trading sessions usually have aContinue reading “Unusual Pre – Holiday Stock Trading – 07/03/25”