Seasonal patterns for U.S. stocks are bearish from mid – August to October and bullish from November to April. U.S. stocks have rallied through September which is statistically the most bearish month. With the bearish season nearly complete, does this mean several more months of rallying? It’s possible however the S&P 500 (SPX) has notContinue reading “Lunar and Seasonal Time Cycles – October 2025”
Category Archives: Time
Bitcoin/S&P 500 – Journey 2022 to 2025
Since early 2022 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and the S&P 500 (SPX) have roughly traded together. Perhaps the BTCUSD peak in August 2025 is heralding a bear market for both indices. The weekly BTCUSD and SPX chart illustrates their relationship since late 2021. On 11/10/21 BTCUSD made a significant peak. On 01/04/22 SPX made an important peakContinue reading “Bitcoin/S&P 500 – Journey 2022 to 2025”
S&P 500 at 6,666?
In March 2009 the S&P 500 (SPX) made a major bottom at 666. Perhaps there could be a major peak at 6,666? The 08/16/25 blog “Comparison of the S&P 500 in 1987 vs. 2025” illustrated that there could be a Fibonacci price relationship between the late stage of the SPX 1987 bull market with what’sContinue reading “S&P 500 at 6,666?”
U.S. Stock Rally into 09/17/25?
On 09/11/25 for the second time in two weeks all three main U.S. stock indices: S&P 500 (SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite made new all-time highs. For at least the short-term this is a bullish signal. Another bullish signal is illustrated on the 30-minute SPX chart courtesy of Trading View. The 09/06/25Continue reading ” U.S. Stock Rally into 09/17/25?”
Precise Time Cycle – August 2025
There are two ways to discover potential Fibonacci time cycles. Using Fibonacci sequence numbers to measure a market time segment. The Fibonacci sequence is as follows (1,1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, to infinity). This method was illustrated in the prior blog and examined several examples of the DowContinue reading “Precise Time Cycle – August 2025”
The Five-Year Phenomenon
Sometimes markets move in time segments related to the Fibonacci sequence. The U.S. stock market could currently be in a Fibonacci sequence time segment. Shortly after R.N Elliott discovered the wave theory now named after him he found that markets move in harmony with Fibonacci sequence numbers and ratios. The Fibonacci sequence is as follows. Continue reading “The Five-Year Phenomenon”
Stock Market Clue from October 2002
What happened in the U.S. stock market during October 2002 could be an important clue for action in 2025. From October 1999 to early 2000 the U.S. stock market experienced the greatest buying mania since mid – 1929. The leading stock index in the post October 1999 rally was the Nasdaq 100 (NDQ). After theContinue reading “Stock Market Clue from October 2002”
Microsoft Update – 08/22/25
The 06/07/25 blog “The Strongest Magnificent Seven Stock” noted that at that time Microsoft (MSFT) was the only one of the “Magnificent Seven” stocks to make a new all-time high. Since then, there have been other “Magnificent Seven” to make new all-time highs. However, for the week ending 08/2/25 only Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) reached aContinue reading “Microsoft Update – 08/22/25”
Rally into a Lunar Cycle – 08/22/25
At 10:00 AM – EDT on 08/22/25 the text of FOMC chairman Powell was released. The U.S. stock market immediately had a huge rally which could be the climax of the bull market that began on 04/07/25. Markets sometimes turn on New/Full Moons plus or minus two trading days. There’s a New Moon on SaturdayContinue reading “Rally into a Lunar Cycle – 08/22/25”
Lunar Time Cycle in 1987 and 2025
The prior blog examined the seasonal similarities between the S&P 500 (SPX) in 1987 and 2025. Now a look at lunar time cycles. The first daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened in 1987. The final phase of a five-year SPX secular bull market was from April to August 1987. This movementContinue reading “Lunar Time Cycle in 1987 and 2025”
Four Dimension Trading 