Category Archives: Time

Three Bearish Factors – 01/01/26

Early January 2026 could be the cusp of a multi-month decline for U.S. stocks. The first bearish factor is potential Fibonacci resistance.  The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrated in this website 12/27/25 blog is reposted below. SPX 12/27/25 peak was 6,945.77 close to and within leeway of major Fibonacci resistance at 6,958.48.  Continue reading “Three Bearish Factors – 01/01/26”

Parabolic Silver – December 2025

When an asset’s price rises at an accelerating, exponential rate it forms a steep curve on a chart.  This is called going parabolic, and it’s what’s happening to Silver.  The monthly Silver in U.S. dollars chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates its long-term action. Several of the blogs on this website have noted that mostContinue reading “Parabolic Silver – December 2025”

Rendezvous of Price and Time – December 2025

The 12/18/25 blog “S&P 500 – Elliott Wave Forecast – December 2025- Part – Two” illustrated that the S&P 500 (SPX) could be forming an Elliott Wave – Horizontal Triangle.  The subsequent rally above the SPX 12/11/25 peak has invalidated that wave count.  SPX has reached an all-time and is close to potentially major FibonacciContinue reading “Rendezvous of Price and Time – December 2025”

Fascinating Year End Stock Market Turns

           Occasionally markets can have significant turns on the cusp of a new year.  Within the last ten – years the S&P 500 (SPX) has had trend changes near a new year.   This phenomenon could be repeated in 2025/2026.  The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the most recent turn in early 2022.Continue reading “Fascinating Year End Stock Market Turns”

Watch the Calendar – December 2025

The S&P 500 (SPX) has moved above its 12/05/25 peak, invalidating a potential Lunar downturn signal.  This opens the door for a rally into very late 2025 to very early 2026. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates its recent action. On 12/11/25 SPX ended its session at 6,901.01 and could soon exceedContinue reading “Watch the Calendar – December 2025”

The First Bear Market Peak?

The 11/28/25 blog “December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?” noted that lunar cycles and momentum evidence implied the S&P 500 (SPX) could make an important top on 12/04/25. Elliott wave patterns and momentum hint that the SPX high on 12/05/25 may be the first peak in a developing multi month bear market. The dailyContinue reading “The First Bear Market Peak?”

December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?

The 11/23/25 blog “Is History Repeating” illustrated the similarities between the S&P 500 (SPX) decline in November 2021 and November 2025 and noted.  “Intraday momentum supports the bullish scenario.  The 30 – minute RSI has several bullish divergences implying that the selling is exhausted.  There’s a good chance SPX could rally in the next fewContinue reading “December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?”

November – Most Important Month for the S&P 500

Almost all markets have seasonal tendencies.  Knowing which months are seasonally bullish or bearish is essential to trading extended price movements.   Counter seasonal trends are also important.  When a market moves against its seasonal pattern it could be heralding a major trend change.   November 2025 could be signaling a major trend change for U.S. stocks.Continue reading “November – Most Important Month for the S&P 500”

Using Bitcoin to Time a U.S. Stock Market Peak

Powerful bull markets for both Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and U.S. stocks began on 04/07/25.  The BTCUSD peak on 10/06/25 could be a sign of an approaching top for U.S. stocks. The 09/14/25 blog “Bitcoin/S&P 500 – Journey 2022 to 2025” examined the relationship between BTCUSD and the S&P 500 (SPX) from 2022 to 2025.  The weeklyContinue reading “Using Bitcoin to Time a U.S. Stock Market Peak”