Category Archives: Time

Fascinating Year End Stock Market Turns

           Occasionally markets can have significant turns on the cusp of a new year.  Within the last ten – years the S&P 500 (SPX) has had trend changes near a new year.   This phenomenon could be repeated in 2025/2026.  The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the most recent turn in early 2022.Continue reading “Fascinating Year End Stock Market Turns”

Watch the Calendar – December 2025

The S&P 500 (SPX) has moved above its 12/05/25 peak, invalidating a potential Lunar downturn signal.  This opens the door for a rally into very late 2025 to very early 2026. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates its recent action. On 12/11/25 SPX ended its session at 6,901.01 and could soon exceedContinue reading “Watch the Calendar – December 2025”

The First Bear Market Peak?

The 11/28/25 blog “December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?” noted that lunar cycles and momentum evidence implied the S&P 500 (SPX) could make an important top on 12/04/25. Elliott wave patterns and momentum hint that the SPX high on 12/05/25 may be the first peak in a developing multi month bear market. The dailyContinue reading “The First Bear Market Peak?”

December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?

The 11/23/25 blog “Is History Repeating” illustrated the similarities between the S&P 500 (SPX) decline in November 2021 and November 2025 and noted.  “Intraday momentum supports the bullish scenario.  The 30 – minute RSI has several bullish divergences implying that the selling is exhausted.  There’s a good chance SPX could rally in the next fewContinue reading “December 4, 2025, an S&P 500 Peak?”

November – Most Important Month for the S&P 500

Almost all markets have seasonal tendencies.  Knowing which months are seasonally bullish or bearish is essential to trading extended price movements.   Counter seasonal trends are also important.  When a market moves against its seasonal pattern it could be heralding a major trend change.   November 2025 could be signaling a major trend change for U.S. stocks.Continue reading “November – Most Important Month for the S&P 500”

Using Bitcoin to Time a U.S. Stock Market Peak

Powerful bull markets for both Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and U.S. stocks began on 04/07/25.  The BTCUSD peak on 10/06/25 could be a sign of an approaching top for U.S. stocks. The 09/14/25 blog “Bitcoin/S&P 500 – Journey 2022 to 2025” examined the relationship between BTCUSD and the S&P 500 (SPX) from 2022 to 2025.  The weeklyContinue reading “Using Bitcoin to Time a U.S. Stock Market Peak”

The Leading U.S. Stock Sector – Part – Two

The 10/25/25 blog “The Leading U.S. Stock Sector” noted that the PHLX Semiconductor index (SOX) had been a factor in the surge up of U.S. stocks.  Recent action implies this leading sector is still bullish. The weekly SOX chart courtesy of Trading View shows what’s happened.   The 10/25/25 blog noted. “Weekly RSI continues toContinue reading “The Leading U.S. Stock Sector – Part – Two”

Sixteen – Year Analysis of the S&P 500

The 10/18/25 blog “Fifty – Year Analysis of the S&P 500” examined the two S&P 500 (SPX) secular bull markets that spanned fifty years.  Fibonacci price and time ratios between the two bull markets imply a major peak that could be made in 2025.   A look at the at the SPX rise since 2009 revealsContinue reading “Sixteen – Year Analysis of the S&P 500”

Fifty – Year Analysis of the S&P 500

Very long-term Fibonacci price and time ratios imply S&P 500 (SPX) could make a significant peak sometime in 2025. Because of the fractal nature of markets Fibonacci price and time analysis can be made on any time scale, from minutes to centuries.  The yearly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View examines two bull markets thatContinue reading “Fifty – Year Analysis of the S&P 500”