There are two methods to measure market momentum. For all markets, price oscillators such as Stochastic and RSI are great for signaling trends, they are called external indicators. The Stock market is unique because momentum can be measured by its components, such as Advance/Decline lines and new 52-week highs/lows. These are referred to internal indicators.Continue reading “NYSE – New – 52 – Week Highs”
Author Archives: Mark Rivest
Golden and Death Crosses
A common method to time markets and stocks is to use a moving average of prices. A popular time range is a two- hundred day moving average (MA). When a securities price breaks above its 200 – day MA it’s a bullish signal, a move below the 200 – day MA is bearish. A variationContinue reading “Golden and Death Crosses”
S & P 500 – Price and Time Projections
My August 25, 2020 blog focused on the angles of the secular bull markets kickoff rally March 2009 to April 2010 compared to the rally since March 23, 2020. My August 15, 2020 blog illustrated what I believe is the prime Elliott Wave count from March 2009 to August 2020. Sometimes within Elliott Wave theoryContinue reading “S & P 500 – Price and Time Projections”
Stock Market Rally Angles
Usually the steepest stock market rallies come after multi-year bear markets. Most stocks are discounted below their fair value in bear markets, at some point these bargains become irresistible to smart money traders/investors. Even before an economic contraction ends, savvy traders/investors rush in to buy stocks – triggering sharp rallies. The monthly S&P 500 (SPX)Continue reading “Stock Market Rally Angles”
Forecast – Bull Market Termination Date – 2021
Within the time dimension there are several methods to determine market turn points. Seasonality and periodic time cycles are two of the more common ways, however they lack precision. Fibonacci time cycles, while unknown to many market analysts, can at times be incredibly accurate. R.N Elliott discoverer of the Wave theory also found that marketsContinue reading “Forecast – Bull Market Termination Date – 2021”
Long-Term Forecast to the Year – 2043
Today, August 18, 2020 the S&P 500 (SPX) broke above its February 2020 top to make a new all-time high. My April 1, 2020 Trading View SPX post speculated a new bull phase was underway that could continue until sometime in 2021. Todays breakthrough is an important confirmation of the forecast. Today’s new all-time highContinue reading “Long-Term Forecast to the Year – 2043”
Eleven – Year View – Part 2
There are always alternate Elliott Wave counts, my prior blog illustrated a count that assumes the bull market from March 2009 is complete. This blog illustrates a count that assumes the S&P 500 (SPX) February 2020 top could be exceeded. This weekly SPX chart is an update to a chart that appeared in my AprilContinue reading “Eleven – Year View – Part 2”
Eleven – Year View -Part 1
When using Elliott Wave theory there are always alternate counts, sometimes there could be three or more alternate counts for the path of a market. Markets represent the mass mind, and like an individual mind can change direction. An analyst/trader must be prepared for alternative trading scenarios. The chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates aContinue reading “Eleven – Year View -Part 1”
Twenty – Year View
Narrowing the focus from two hundred and thirty years to the last twenty, shows major bull to bear phase transitions. The S&P 500 (SPX) monthly chart, courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action from the late twentieth century bull market in US stocks to mid – 2020. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the bull marketContinue reading “Twenty – Year View”
The Big Picture
Welcome to the inauguration of Four Dimension Trading! Many market analysts focus primarily on the dimension of price, the best approach is to examine the weight of evidence from all four dimensions, price, time, momentum, and sentiment. No method is perfect, and traders need to know how to handle eventual losses. This site will alsoContinue reading “The Big Picture”
Four Dimension Trading 