The Leading U.S. Stock Index?

On 08/14/26 none of the three main U.S. stock indices; S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, or Nasdaq Composite made new all-time highs.  However, the small cap index – Russell 2000 (RUT) made a new all-time high.  Is this this a sign of more upside action or the bulls last gasp?

The daily RUT chart courtesy of Trading View shows what’s happened since mid-April 2026.

Since 04/20/26 momentum as measured by RSI has diminished while price rises.

Also please note the potentially bearish wedge that’s formed since 08/05/26.

The five – minute RUT chart illustrates a fascinating Elliott wave pattern.

The movement from 08/13/26 to 08/14/26 is a rare Elliott – nine wave Horizontal Triangle.  This is like an Elliott five – wave Impulse extending into a nine – wave pattern.  The rally in the last trading hour of 08/14/26 appears to be a post triangle thrust.

On 08/17/26 watch if any of the three main U.S. stock indices or the RUT make new all-time highs. If all four of these indices fail to make new all-time highs, it could be the start of a multi-week decline.   

Published by Mark Rivest

Independent investment advisor, trader, and writer. Articles have appeared on Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities , Traders.com Advantage, Futuresmag.com, and Finance Magnates.

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