There’s a high probability that the U.S. 30 – year Treasury Yield (TYX) has completed a multi- month Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle. The 05/11/25 blog “The Treasury Triangle” illustrated that TYX was probably forming an Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle since October 2023. These structures are sideways corrective patterns which sub divide into fiveContinue reading “Detailed Elliott Wave Count for U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Yield -05/16/25”
Category Archives: Elliott Wave
The Treasury Triangle
There is no predestination in Elliott Wave theory. The mass mind like the individual mind can change direction, there are always alternate Elliott wave counts. The CBOE 30 – Year U.S. Treasury Bond Yield (TYX) may have completed a fascinating alternate Elliott wave count. The 02/02/25 blog “A Super Rally for U.S. Interest Rates?” noted.Continue reading “The Treasury Triangle”
A Super Rally for U.S. Interest Rates? – Part – Two
The 02/02/25 blog “A Super Rally for U.S. Interest Rates?” noted “In the coming months U.S. Treasury yields/rates could have a dramatic rise”. The dramatic rise may have begun last week. The weekly U.S. 30 – Year Treasury Bond yield (TYX) chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long – term picture. TheContinue reading “A Super Rally for U.S. Interest Rates? – Part – Two”
Sell on the Tariffs
The S&P 500 (SPX) rallied most of the 04/02/25 session in anticipation of U.S. President Trump’s tariff speech just after 4:00 PM – EDT. Minutes after the speech began the S&P 500 – Futures went into a huge decline that soon wiped out all the SPX 04/02/25 gains. What were the bulls thinking prior toContinue reading “Sell on the Tariffs”
Choppy Stock Rally
The S&P 500 (SPX) move up from the 03/13/25 bottom has the choppy look of an Elliott wave corrective pattern. The daily SPX chart courtesy of BigCharts.com updates the bigger picture. The BigCharts.com Slow Stochastic indicator is very effective in identifying market turns. So far, Slow Stochastic has not reached the overbought zone which beginsContinue reading “Choppy Stock Rally”
The First Elliott Wave Down – 02/28/25
On 02/28/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) appears to have completed an Elliott – Impulse wave from the all-time high made on 02/19/25. If so, this could be the first wave of a developing bear market that could continue for months. The SPX 15 – minute chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action. An interestingContinue reading “The First Elliott Wave Down – 02/28/25”
Short-Term S&P 500 – Downside Target
On 02/19/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) made an all-time high unconfirmed by the other two main U.S. stock indices – Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite. This was the five – year anniversary of the SPX – all-time high just before the 2020 – Covid crash. On 02/20/25 intraday the SPX had declined 1%Continue reading “Short-Term S&P 500 – Downside Target”
A Turn in the U.S. Stock Market Tide – 02/19/25
On 02/19/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) made a new all – time high unaccompanied by the other two main U.S. stock indices – Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite. This bearish divergence occurred on a fascinating Day. The weekly SPX courtesy of Trading View illustrates what happened. The SPX late session high onContinue reading “A Turn in the U.S. Stock Market Tide – 02/19/25”
Updated S&P 500 – Long-Term Elliott Wave Count – 02/14/25
On 02/14/25 the S&P 500 (SPX) peaked at .71 points below its all-time high made on 01/24/25. Could this be the prelude to a significant upside breakthrough, or could something else be happening? Detailed Fibonacci analysis reveals some amazing clues. The weekly SPX chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the long-term Elliott wave count sinceContinue reading “Updated S&P 500 – Long-Term Elliott Wave Count – 02/14/25”
A Golden Triangle – Part – Two
The 01/12/25 blog “A Golden Triangle?” speculated that Gold was forming an Elliott Wave – Horizontal Triangle that could be the prelude to new highs. The daily Gold Futures Continuous Contract (GC1!) chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. It appears a Horizontal Triangle has completed, and Gold is in a post triangle thrustContinue reading ” A Golden Triangle – Part – Two”
Four Dimension Trading 