More Bullish Evidence for U.S. Stocks – 10/09/23

The S&P 500 (SPX) opened the 10/09/23 session down 19.47 points.  It appeared a significant  decline could  be developing.   After about 80 – minutes the bears were only able to move marginally below the opening bottom.  Subsequently there was another relentless rally that continued though most of the session. The daily SPX chart courtesy ofContinue reading “More Bullish Evidence for U.S. Stocks – 10/09/23”

Intermediate Bottom for U.S. Stocks?

Something happened on 10/06/23 that indicates U.S. stocks may have made an intermediate bottom. One part of the “Volume Profile” analysis method is measuring a markets opening range.  The best way to use “Volume Profile” for the S&P 500 (SPX) is to examine the nearest S&P 500 – E – Mini futures contract, currently DecemberContinue reading “Intermediate Bottom for U.S. Stocks?”

S&P 500 – Support Reached – 10/04/23

The 09/30/23 blog “S&P 500 – Nearing Support – 09/29/23” noted. (The presumed pattern from the 09/01/23 high could be complete on 10/02/23 or 10/03/23 in the area of 4,225 to 4,175.)   On 10/03/23 the S&P 500 (SPX) low was 4,216.45. The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updates the action. Daily RSIContinue reading “S&P 500 – Support Reached – 10/04/23”

S&P 500 – Nearing Support Zone – 09/29/23

The 09/23/23 blog “Possible Major S&P 500 – Bottom October 2023” noted that on 09/22/23 the S&P 500 (SPX) broke below the low end of a double bottom at 4,328.08.  The blog illustrated the next support could be in the upper 4,100 to low 4,200 area.  The daily SPX chart courtesy of Trading View updatesContinue reading “S&P 500 – Nearing Support Zone – 09/29/23”

Energy Sector Stocks May Have Peaked

The 09/17/23 blog “Crude Oil Elliott Wave Pattern – 09/15/23” noted that an important Crude Oil top  could occur in a few trading days.  Recent action of the Energy sector exchange traded fund (XLE) indicates they may have topped on 09/14/23. Since the S&P 500 (SPX) all-time high in January 2022, both the XLE andContinue reading “Energy Sector Stocks May Have Peaked”

Possible Major S&P 500 – Bottom October 2023

Seasonal patterns for stocks are bearish until October.  A break below a strong support zone could trigger a mini – crash bottoming sometime in October 2023. The recent blog “S&P 500 – Support Levels – 09/20/23” noted, (The first support area is the double bottoms of 06/26/23 and 08/18/23.  The important level is 4,328.08 madeContinue reading “Possible Major S&P 500 – Bottom October 2023”

Upside Target for U.S. Treasury Yield

The 09/09/23 blog “U.S. Interest Rates Ready to Thrust Higher” noted that long – term U.S. interest rates/yields could soon make new highs. Also noted,  (The most important point on the chart is the 08/21/23 peak at 4.474 which is labeled Minor wave “1”.) Today 09/21/23 U.S. 30 – year treasury yields (TYX) blasted aboveContinue reading “Upside Target for U.S. Treasury Yield”

S&P 500 – Support Levels – 09/20/23

Seasonal stock patterns are bearish until late October.  Today’s  U.S. – FOMC short – term interest rate announcement triggered additional selling, opening the door for lower prices.  The daily S&P 500 (SPX) chart courtesy of Trading View shows two potential support zones. The first support area is the double bottoms of 06/26/23 and 08/18/23.  TheContinue reading “S&P 500 – Support Levels – 09/20/23”

S&P 500 – Momentum Update – 09/15/23

The prior blog “S&P 500 – Upside Target Hit – 09/14/23” noted  “There’s a good chance the SPX made an important top at 4,511.99.  If so U.S. stocks could  begin a sharp and deep multi- week decline.”   On 09/15/23 the S&P 500 (SPX) fell more than 54 – points. Weekly and daily SPX momentum oscillatorsContinue reading “S&P 500 – Momentum Update – 09/15/23”

Nvidia Corporation Update – 09/08/23

Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) bearish technical situation was illustrated in the 08/13/23 blog “Follow the Leaders”.  Since then, the technical condition of the stock has gotten more bearish. The weekly NVDA chart courtesy of Trading View illustrates the action since 2022. In bull markets there are usually one or two stocks that are spectacular upside leaders. Continue reading “Nvidia Corporation Update – 09/08/23”